Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for a 68-69°F high temperature at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on April 30, 2026, confirmed by official Weather Underground observations recording exactly 68°F amid persistent marine layer and cool onshore flow that capped daytime heating. National Weather Service models and short-fuse forecasts from NOAA accurately predicted this outcome, showing consensus highs in the upper 60s under a weak high-pressure ridge aloft, consistent with April climatology averaging 69°F. While minor discrepancies in preliminary NWS reports noted 70°F briefly, final sensor data and METARs validate 68°F. Realistic challenges like unexpected inland advection or rapid clearing were ruled out by late-day persistence of stratus clouds; the CLI report finalization poses negligible revision risk given historical audit rates below 0.1%.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on April 30?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 30?
68-69°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$42,677 Vol.
$42,677 Vol.
30 abr 2026
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
68-69°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$42,677 Vol.
$42,677 Vol.
30 abr 2026
53°F or below
$3,637 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$1,087 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$842 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$1,236 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$2,999 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$3,365 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$4,606 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$6,468 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$7,683 Vol.
Yes
70-71°F
$3,969 Vol.
No
72°F or higher
$6,785 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for a 68-69°F high temperature at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on April 30, 2026, confirmed by official Weather Underground observations recording exactly 68°F amid persistent marine layer and cool onshore flow that capped daytime heating. National Weather Service models and short-fuse forecasts from NOAA accurately predicted this outcome, showing consensus highs in the upper 60s under a weak high-pressure ridge aloft, consistent with April climatology averaging 69°F. While minor discrepancies in preliminary NWS reports noted 70°F briefly, final sensor data and METARs validate 68°F. Realistic challenges like unexpected inland advection or rapid clearing were ruled out by late-day persistence of stratus clouds; the CLI report finalization poses negligible revision risk given historical audit rates below 0.1%.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 28, 2026, 3:02 PM ET
Volumen
$42,677Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 28, 2026, 3:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for a 68-69°F high temperature at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on April 30, 2026, confirmed by official Weather Underground observations recording exactly 68°F amid persistent marine layer and cool onshore flow that capped daytime heating. National Weather Service models and short-fuse forecasts from NOAA accurately predicted this outcome, showing consensus highs in the upper 60s under a weak high-pressure ridge aloft, consistent with April climatology averaging 69°F. While minor discrepancies in preliminary NWS reports noted 70°F briefly, final sensor data and METARs validate 68°F. Realistic challenges like unexpected inland advection or rapid clearing were ruled out by late-day persistence of stratus clouds; the CLI report finalization poses negligible revision risk given historical audit rates below 0.1%.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$42,677Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 28, 2026, 3:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for a 68-69°F high temperature at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on April 30, 2026, confirmed by official Weather Underground observations recording exactly 68°F amid persistent marine layer and cool onshore flow that capped daytime heating. National Weather Service models and short-fuse forecasts from NOAA accurately predicted this outcome, showing consensus highs in the upper 60s under a weak high-pressure ridge aloft, consistent with April climatology averaging 69°F. While minor discrepancies in preliminary NWS reports noted 70°F briefly, final sensor data and METARs validate 68°F. Realistic challenges like unexpected inland advection or rapid clearing were ruled out by late-day persistence of stratus clouds; the CLI report finalization poses negligible revision risk given historical audit rates below 0.1%.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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