Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 72°F or higher (42%) and 70-71°F (39.5%), reflecting National Weather Service (NWS) Los Angeles/Oxnard forecast guidance and ensemble model runs like GFS and ECMWF showing peak highs near 71°F amid persistent marine layer influence. Recent 24-hour updates indicate weak onshore flow and mid-level high pressure over the Southwest, favoring partial coastal clearing by afternoon but capping temperatures below climatological May 1 averages of 73-74°F at LAX. Key differentiators include stratus deck persistence—prolonging if winds stay southerly, allowing 72°F+ if stronger sundowner winds enhance mixing—and model spread, with warmer ECMWF outliers versus cooler GFS. Watch NWS 18Z forecast for refined probabilities ahead of resolution using official LAX observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on May 1?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 1?
72°F or higher 42%
70-71°F 40%
68-69°F 20%
66-67°F 2.5%
NUEVO
$22,690 Vol.
NUEVO
$22,690 Vol.
1 may 2026
53°F or below
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
20%
70-71°F
40%
72°F or higher
42%
72°F or higher 42%
70-71°F 40%
68-69°F 20%
66-67°F 2.5%
NUEVO
$22,690 Vol.
NUEVO
$22,690 Vol.
1 may 2026
53°F or below
$216 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$224 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$1,147 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$821 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$6,330 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$4,825 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$2,338 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$2,390 Vol.
2%
68-69°F
$1,386 Vol.
20%
70-71°F
$1,195 Vol.
40%
72°F or higher
$2,127 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 72°F or higher (42%) and 70-71°F (39.5%), reflecting National Weather Service (NWS) Los Angeles/Oxnard forecast guidance and ensemble model runs like GFS and ECMWF showing peak highs near 71°F amid persistent marine layer influence. Recent 24-hour updates indicate weak onshore flow and mid-level high pressure over the Southwest, favoring partial coastal clearing by afternoon but capping temperatures below climatological May 1 averages of 73-74°F at LAX. Key differentiators include stratus deck persistence—prolonging if winds stay southerly, allowing 72°F+ if stronger sundowner winds enhance mixing—and model spread, with warmer ECMWF outliers versus cooler GFS. Watch NWS 18Z forecast for refined probabilities ahead of resolution using official LAX observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
Volumen
$22,690Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:36 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 72°F or higher (42%) and 70-71°F (39.5%), reflecting National Weather Service (NWS) Los Angeles/Oxnard forecast guidance and ensemble model runs like GFS and ECMWF showing peak highs near 71°F amid persistent marine layer influence. Recent 24-hour updates indicate weak onshore flow and mid-level high pressure over the Southwest, favoring partial coastal clearing by afternoon but capping temperatures below climatological May 1 averages of 73-74°F at LAX. Key differentiators include stratus deck persistence—prolonging if winds stay southerly, allowing 72°F+ if stronger sundowner winds enhance mixing—and model spread, with warmer ECMWF outliers versus cooler GFS. Watch NWS 18Z forecast for refined probabilities ahead of resolution using official LAX observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$22,690Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:36 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 72°F or higher (42%) and 70-71°F (39.5%), reflecting National Weather Service (NWS) Los Angeles/Oxnard forecast guidance and ensemble model runs like GFS and ECMWF showing peak highs near 71°F amid persistent marine layer influence. Recent 24-hour updates indicate weak onshore flow and mid-level high pressure over the Southwest, favoring partial coastal clearing by afternoon but capping temperatures below climatological May 1 averages of 73-74°F at LAX. Key differentiators include stratus deck persistence—prolonging if winds stay southerly, allowing 72°F+ if stronger sundowner winds enhance mixing—and model spread, with warmer ECMWF outliers versus cooler GFS. Watch NWS 18Z forecast for refined probabilities ahead of resolution using official LAX observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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