Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 22°C (37.5% implied probability) as London's highest temperature on May 2, closely matching the latest Met Office forecast of a 22°C peak with sunny morning spells transitioning to heavy rain and cloud cover by afternoon, precipitation odds climbing to 90%. BBC Weather aligns, projecting 22°C amid light rain showers and light winds. Recent high pressure drove today's 25°C high—well above the early May climatological average of 16-17°C—but an incoming Atlantic frontal system caps intensification potential, introducing uncertainty in exact peak timing. Model ensembles show tight clustering around 21-23°C; monitor overnight updates from official agencies for potential refinements before observations confirm the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in London on May 2?
Highest temperature in London on May 2?
22°C 40%
21°C 27%
23°C 23.9%
24°C 6.8%
NUEVO
$58,130 Vol.
NUEVO
$58,130 Vol.
2 may 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
27%
22°C
40%
23°C
24%
24°C
7%
25°C or higher
1%
22°C 40%
21°C 27%
23°C 23.9%
24°C 6.8%
NUEVO
$58,130 Vol.
NUEVO
$58,130 Vol.
2 may 2026
15°C or below
$7,800 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$6,555 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$5,525 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$5,350 Vol.
1%
19°C
$5,107 Vol.
1%
20°C
$5,121 Vol.
4%
21°C
$3,602 Vol.
27%
22°C
$5,027 Vol.
40%
23°C
$4,584 Vol.
24%
24°C
$6,046 Vol.
7%
25°C or higher
$3,702 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 22°C (37.5% implied probability) as London's highest temperature on May 2, closely matching the latest Met Office forecast of a 22°C peak with sunny morning spells transitioning to heavy rain and cloud cover by afternoon, precipitation odds climbing to 90%. BBC Weather aligns, projecting 22°C amid light rain showers and light winds. Recent high pressure drove today's 25°C high—well above the early May climatological average of 16-17°C—but an incoming Atlantic frontal system caps intensification potential, introducing uncertainty in exact peak timing. Model ensembles show tight clustering around 21-23°C; monitor overnight updates from official agencies for potential refinements before observations confirm the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$58,130Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 22°C (37.5% implied probability) as London's highest temperature on May 2, closely matching the latest Met Office forecast of a 22°C peak with sunny morning spells transitioning to heavy rain and cloud cover by afternoon, precipitation odds climbing to 90%. BBC Weather aligns, projecting 22°C amid light rain showers and light winds. Recent high pressure drove today's 25°C high—well above the early May climatological average of 16-17°C—but an incoming Atlantic frontal system caps intensification potential, introducing uncertainty in exact peak timing. Model ensembles show tight clustering around 21-23°C; monitor overnight updates from official agencies for potential refinements before observations confirm the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$58,130Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 22°C (37.5% implied probability) as London's highest temperature on May 2, closely matching the latest Met Office forecast of a 22°C peak with sunny morning spells transitioning to heavy rain and cloud cover by afternoon, precipitation odds climbing to 90%. BBC Weather aligns, projecting 22°C amid light rain showers and light winds. Recent high pressure drove today's 25°C high—well above the early May climatological average of 16-17°C—but an incoming Atlantic frontal system caps intensification potential, introducing uncertainty in exact peak timing. Model ensembles show tight clustering around 21-23°C; monitor overnight updates from official agencies for potential refinements before observations confirm the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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