Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Met Office guidance showing London's highest temperature on May 16 likely in the mid-teens Celsius, driven by persistent northerly winds from a recent cold snap suppressing highs below seasonal averages of around 16°C. Current forecasts indicate patchy rain and cloudy skies, with ensemble models centering 14–16°C as most probable amid low confidence in exact peaks—northerly flow could linger for cooler 12–13°C outcomes, while an earlier westerly shift risks 17°C+. Recent 10-day outlooks highlight this transitional pattern post-chilly mid-May start, with minimal El Niño influence yet on short-term UK weather. Updated advisories due Friday may sharpen the spread.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 16 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 16 de mayo?
14°C 34%
15°C 26%
13°C 23%
12°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 may 2026
10°C o menos
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
10%
13°C
23%
14°C
34%
15°C
26%
16°C
7%
17°C
7%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C o más
1%
14°C 34%
15°C 26%
13°C 23%
12°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 may 2026
10°C o menos
$23 Vol.
1%
11°C
$99 Vol.
2%
12°C
$2 Vol.
10%
13°C
$0 Vol.
23%
14°C
$1 Vol.
34%
15°C
$5 Vol.
26%
16°C
$26 Vol.
7%
17°C
$6 Vol.
7%
18°C
$14 Vol.
1%
19°C
$50 Vol.
1%
20°C o más
$113 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Met Office guidance showing London's highest temperature on May 16 likely in the mid-teens Celsius, driven by persistent northerly winds from a recent cold snap suppressing highs below seasonal averages of around 16°C. Current forecasts indicate patchy rain and cloudy skies, with ensemble models centering 14–16°C as most probable amid low confidence in exact peaks—northerly flow could linger for cooler 12–13°C outcomes, while an earlier westerly shift risks 17°C+. Recent 10-day outlooks highlight this transitional pattern post-chilly mid-May start, with minimal El Niño influence yet on short-term UK weather. Updated advisories due Friday may sharpen the spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$305Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Met Office guidance showing London's highest temperature on May 16 likely in the mid-teens Celsius, driven by persistent northerly winds from a recent cold snap suppressing highs below seasonal averages of around 16°C. Current forecasts indicate patchy rain and cloudy skies, with ensemble models centering 14–16°C as most probable amid low confidence in exact peaks—northerly flow could linger for cooler 12–13°C outcomes, while an earlier westerly shift risks 17°C+. Recent 10-day outlooks highlight this transitional pattern post-chilly mid-May start, with minimal El Niño influence yet on short-term UK weather. Updated advisories due Friday may sharpen the spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$305Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Met Office guidance showing London's highest temperature on May 16 likely in the mid-teens Celsius, driven by persistent northerly winds from a recent cold snap suppressing highs below seasonal averages of around 16°C. Current forecasts indicate patchy rain and cloudy skies, with ensemble models centering 14–16°C as most probable amid low confidence in exact peaks—northerly flow could linger for cooler 12–13°C outcomes, while an earlier westerly shift risks 17°C+. Recent 10-day outlooks highlight this transitional pattern post-chilly mid-May start, with minimal El Niño influence yet on short-term UK weather. Updated advisories due Friday may sharpen the spread.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes