NEA's latest fortnightly outlook for 1–15 May 2026 projects daily maximum temperatures of 33–35°C across Singapore amid inter-monsoon conditions with light variable winds and afternoon thundery showers on most days, driving trader consensus toward higher bins while pricing 22–26°C outcomes at just 0.5% due to climatological improbability—May averages 32°C highs, rarely below 30°C. Closely matched leading probabilities reflect forecast uncertainty in shower timing: delayed onset allows prolonged morning insolation for 35°C+ peaks at exposed stations like Pulau Ubin, while early clouds cap at 33–34°C. Yesterday's 33.6°C high underscores warm baseline; NEA 24-hour updates will refine May 16 guidance on peak heating potential.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Singapore on May 16?
Highest temperature in Singapore on May 16?
31°C 32%
32°C or higher 28%
30°C 19%
29°C 12.0%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
12%
30°C
19%
31°C
32%
32°C or higher
28%
31°C 32%
32°C or higher 28%
30°C 19%
29°C 12.0%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
12%
30°C
19%
31°C
32%
32°C or higher
28%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...NEA's latest fortnightly outlook for 1–15 May 2026 projects daily maximum temperatures of 33–35°C across Singapore amid inter-monsoon conditions with light variable winds and afternoon thundery showers on most days, driving trader consensus toward higher bins while pricing 22–26°C outcomes at just 0.5% due to climatological improbability—May averages 32°C highs, rarely below 30°C. Closely matched leading probabilities reflect forecast uncertainty in shower timing: delayed onset allows prolonged morning insolation for 35°C+ peaks at exposed stations like Pulau Ubin, while early clouds cap at 33–34°C. Yesterday's 33.6°C high underscores warm baseline; NEA 24-hour updates will refine May 16 guidance on peak heating potential.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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