Met Office forecasts for London City Airport, the market's resolution site, indicate a May 15 high of 14°C under predominantly cloudy skies with 30% precipitation odds and light northerly winds at 6-9 mph, driving trader sentiment toward the tight 13°C (32%) and 14°C (30%) lead. Persistent low-pressure influence and cool maritime air advection from the north suppress daytime heating, keeping peaks below mid-May norms of 17°C, while BBC models nudge slightly lower at 13°C amid light showers. Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud breaks for potential 14°C or denser overcast limiting to 13°C; ensemble uncertainty persists ahead of final hourly updates. AccuWeather eyes 12°C if thundershowers develop, underscoring model spread in this low-sun-angle transitional period.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in London on May 15?
Highest temperature in London on May 15?
13°C 33%
14°C 28%
12°C 19%
15°C 18%
$17,194 Vol.
$17,194 Vol.
8°C o menos
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
4%
12°C
19%
13°C
33%
14°C
28%
15°C
18%
16°C
3%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 33%
14°C 28%
12°C 19%
15°C 18%
$17,194 Vol.
$17,194 Vol.
8°C o menos
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
4%
12°C
19%
13°C
33%
14°C
28%
15°C
18%
16°C
3%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Met Office forecasts for London City Airport, the market's resolution site, indicate a May 15 high of 14°C under predominantly cloudy skies with 30% precipitation odds and light northerly winds at 6-9 mph, driving trader sentiment toward the tight 13°C (32%) and 14°C (30%) lead. Persistent low-pressure influence and cool maritime air advection from the north suppress daytime heating, keeping peaks below mid-May norms of 17°C, while BBC models nudge slightly lower at 13°C amid light showers. Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud breaks for potential 14°C or denser overcast limiting to 13°C; ensemble uncertainty persists ahead of final hourly updates. AccuWeather eyes 12°C if thundershowers develop, underscoring model spread in this low-sun-angle transitional period.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes