The China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast for Chongqing projects a daytime high of 30°C under partly cloudy conditions with possible evening showers, anchoring trader sentiment around 29°C (33.5%) and 30°C (29.5%) as the leading outcomes with nearly two-thirds market-implied probability. This reflects a strengthening subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and afternoon heating, consistent with recent days' progression from 26°C on May 12 to warmer readings. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover potentially limiting insolation and capping peaks at 28–29°C, versus clearer skies enabling urban heat island amplification in the basin city to hit 30°C. Hourly observations from Chongqing Jiangbei Airport will clarify as the afternoon unfolds, with official CMA data resolving the market by evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chongqing on May 14?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 14?
29°C 35%
30°C 31%
28°C 22%
31°C 8%
$45,166 Vol.
$45,166 Vol.
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
22%
29°C
35%
30°C
31%
31°C
8%
32°C
3%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 35%
30°C 31%
28°C 22%
31°C 8%
$45,166 Vol.
$45,166 Vol.
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
22%
29°C
35%
30°C
31%
31°C
8%
32°C
3%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast for Chongqing projects a daytime high of 30°C under partly cloudy conditions with possible evening showers, anchoring trader sentiment around 29°C (33.5%) and 30°C (29.5%) as the leading outcomes with nearly two-thirds market-implied probability. This reflects a strengthening subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and afternoon heating, consistent with recent days' progression from 26°C on May 12 to warmer readings. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover potentially limiting insolation and capping peaks at 28–29°C, versus clearer skies enabling urban heat island amplification in the basin city to hit 30°C. Hourly observations from Chongqing Jiangbei Airport will clarify as the afternoon unfolds, with official CMA data resolving the market by evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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