Current forecast ensembles from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models like GFS and ECMWF project Tokyo's May 18 minimum temperature near 16°C under overcast skies and light southerly winds, but spreads of 3–5°C across runs explain the closely matched trader consensus across 14–23°C outcomes. Mid-May climatology averages 15–17°C lows, with urban heat island effects and potential cloud trapping elevating minima amid ENSO-neutral conditions leaning toward El Niño warmth. Key differentiators include frontal passage risks for cooler advection versus high-pressure stability favoring higher readings; daily JMA advisories and model refreshes through May 17 will clarify steering patterns and refine probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Tokio el 18 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Tokio el 18 de mayo?
23°C o más 50%
13°C o menos 40%
18°C 27%
19°C 19%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 may 2026
13°C o menos
40%
14°C
18%
15°C
18%
16°C
19%
17°C
19%
18°C
27%
19°C
19%
20°C
18%
21°C
18%
22°C
18%
23°C o más
50%
23°C o más 50%
13°C o menos 40%
18°C 27%
19°C 19%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 may 2026
13°C o menos
$28 Vol.
40%
14°C
$0 Vol.
18%
15°C
$0 Vol.
18%
16°C
$0 Vol.
19%
17°C
$0 Vol.
19%
18°C
$0 Vol.
27%
19°C
$0 Vol.
19%
20°C
$0 Vol.
18%
21°C
$0 Vol.
18%
22°C
$5 Vol.
18%
23°C o más
$60 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast ensembles from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models like GFS and ECMWF project Tokyo's May 18 minimum temperature near 16°C under overcast skies and light southerly winds, but spreads of 3–5°C across runs explain the closely matched trader consensus across 14–23°C outcomes. Mid-May climatology averages 15–17°C lows, with urban heat island effects and potential cloud trapping elevating minima amid ENSO-neutral conditions leaning toward El Niño warmth. Key differentiators include frontal passage risks for cooler advection versus high-pressure stability favoring higher readings; daily JMA advisories and model refreshes through May 17 will clarify steering patterns and refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$93Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast ensembles from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models like GFS and ECMWF project Tokyo's May 18 minimum temperature near 16°C under overcast skies and light southerly winds, but spreads of 3–5°C across runs explain the closely matched trader consensus across 14–23°C outcomes. Mid-May climatology averages 15–17°C lows, with urban heat island effects and potential cloud trapping elevating minima amid ENSO-neutral conditions leaning toward El Niño warmth. Key differentiators include frontal passage risks for cooler advection versus high-pressure stability favoring higher readings; daily JMA advisories and model refreshes through May 17 will clarify steering patterns and refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$93Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTCurrent forecast ensembles from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models like GFS and ECMWF project Tokyo's May 18 minimum temperature near 16°C under overcast skies and light southerly winds, but spreads of 3–5°C across runs explain the closely matched trader consensus across 14–23°C outcomes. Mid-May climatology averages 15–17°C lows, with urban heat island effects and potential cloud trapping elevating minima amid ENSO-neutral conditions leaning toward El Niño warmth. Key differentiators include frontal passage risks for cooler advection versus high-pressure stability favoring higher readings; daily JMA advisories and model refreshes through May 17 will clarify steering patterns and refine probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes