Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in forecast ensembles for London's minimum temperature on May 18, with Met Office guidance (updated May 13) projecting cloudy skies and an overnight low near 11°C at Heathrow amid light rain chances, corroborated by BBC forecasts of 10°C minima under showers. Differentiating factors hinge on nocturnal cloud cover persistence amid changeable Atlantic patterns: sustained overcast traps heat for 10-12°C lows, while intermittent breaks enable radiational cooling to 4-8°C, as seen in divergent ECMWF and GFS runs hinting at a warming trend from the 18th. Climatological May averages (~9°C) align with the spread; monitor daily model updates and Met Office advisories through May 17 for shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 18 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 18 de mayo?
2°C o menos 43%
3°C 33%
9°C 27%
12°C o más 26%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 may 2026
2°C o menos
43%
3°C
33%
4°C
18%
5°C
18%
6°C
18%
7°C
19%
8°C
19%
9°C
27%
10°C
19%
11°C
18%
12°C o más
26%
2°C o menos 43%
3°C 33%
9°C 27%
12°C o más 26%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 may 2026
2°C o menos
$20 Vol.
43%
3°C
$20 Vol.
33%
4°C
$0 Vol.
18%
5°C
$0 Vol.
18%
6°C
$0 Vol.
18%
7°C
$0 Vol.
19%
8°C
$0 Vol.
19%
9°C
$0 Vol.
27%
10°C
$0 Vol.
19%
11°C
$0 Vol.
18%
12°C o más
$0 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in forecast ensembles for London's minimum temperature on May 18, with Met Office guidance (updated May 13) projecting cloudy skies and an overnight low near 11°C at Heathrow amid light rain chances, corroborated by BBC forecasts of 10°C minima under showers. Differentiating factors hinge on nocturnal cloud cover persistence amid changeable Atlantic patterns: sustained overcast traps heat for 10-12°C lows, while intermittent breaks enable radiational cooling to 4-8°C, as seen in divergent ECMWF and GFS runs hinting at a warming trend from the 18th. Climatological May averages (~9°C) align with the spread; monitor daily model updates and Met Office advisories through May 17 for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$40Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in forecast ensembles for London's minimum temperature on May 18, with Met Office guidance (updated May 13) projecting cloudy skies and an overnight low near 11°C at Heathrow amid light rain chances, corroborated by BBC forecasts of 10°C minima under showers. Differentiating factors hinge on nocturnal cloud cover persistence amid changeable Atlantic patterns: sustained overcast traps heat for 10-12°C lows, while intermittent breaks enable radiational cooling to 4-8°C, as seen in divergent ECMWF and GFS runs hinting at a warming trend from the 18th. Climatological May averages (~9°C) align with the spread; monitor daily model updates and Met Office advisories through May 17 for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$40Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in forecast ensembles for London's minimum temperature on May 18, with Met Office guidance (updated May 13) projecting cloudy skies and an overnight low near 11°C at Heathrow amid light rain chances, corroborated by BBC forecasts of 10°C minima under showers. Differentiating factors hinge on nocturnal cloud cover persistence amid changeable Atlantic patterns: sustained overcast traps heat for 10-12°C lows, while intermittent breaks enable radiational cooling to 4-8°C, as seen in divergent ECMWF and GFS runs hinting at a warming trend from the 18th. Climatological May averages (~9°C) align with the spread; monitor daily model updates and Met Office advisories through May 17 for shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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