Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Shanghai high of 25°C (48%) or 24°C (35.5%) today, reflecting persistent overcast conditions from the China Meteorological Administration forecast that limit solar insolation and suppress peak temperatures despite a warm southeasterly airflow. Mid-May climatology supports this positioning, with historical averages around 25°C amid Shanghai's urban heat island effect boosting readings 1–2°C above rural areas. Following recent warmer days—such as 28°C+ on May 12—short-range model guidance and morning observations indicate thicker cloud decks preventing significant heating, though brief clearing could nudge toward 26°C (11%). Official station data from Xujiahui or Pudong will resolve the market by midnight UTC.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 14?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 14?
24°C 66%
25°C 28%
26°C 7%
27°C 1.3%
NUEVO
$86,257 Vol.
NUEVO
$86,257 Vol.
14 may 2026
23°C
<1%
24°C
66%
25°C
28%
26°C
7%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
24°C 66%
25°C 28%
26°C 7%
27°C 1.3%
NUEVO
$86,257 Vol.
NUEVO
$86,257 Vol.
14 may 2026
23°C
$10,202 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$8,823 Vol.
66%
25°C
$5,920 Vol.
28%
26°C
$5,542 Vol.
7%
27°C
$6,357 Vol.
1%
28°C
$9,347 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$11,193 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$6,034 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,642 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$3,115 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Shanghai high of 25°C (48%) or 24°C (35.5%) today, reflecting persistent overcast conditions from the China Meteorological Administration forecast that limit solar insolation and suppress peak temperatures despite a warm southeasterly airflow. Mid-May climatology supports this positioning, with historical averages around 25°C amid Shanghai's urban heat island effect boosting readings 1–2°C above rural areas. Following recent warmer days—such as 28°C+ on May 12—short-range model guidance and morning observations indicate thicker cloud decks preventing significant heating, though brief clearing could nudge toward 26°C (11%). Official station data from Xujiahui or Pudong will resolve the market by midnight UTC.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Volumen
$86,257Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:22 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Shanghai high of 25°C (48%) or 24°C (35.5%) today, reflecting persistent overcast conditions from the China Meteorological Administration forecast that limit solar insolation and suppress peak temperatures despite a warm southeasterly airflow. Mid-May climatology supports this positioning, with historical averages around 25°C amid Shanghai's urban heat island effect boosting readings 1–2°C above rural areas. Following recent warmer days—such as 28°C+ on May 12—short-range model guidance and morning observations indicate thicker cloud decks preventing significant heating, though brief clearing could nudge toward 26°C (11%). Official station data from Xujiahui or Pudong will resolve the market by midnight UTC.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$86,257Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:22 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Shanghai high of 25°C (48%) or 24°C (35.5%) today, reflecting persistent overcast conditions from the China Meteorological Administration forecast that limit solar insolation and suppress peak temperatures despite a warm southeasterly airflow. Mid-May climatology supports this positioning, with historical averages around 25°C amid Shanghai's urban heat island effect boosting readings 1–2°C above rural areas. Following recent warmer days—such as 28°C+ on May 12—short-range model guidance and morning observations indicate thicker cloud decks preventing significant heating, though brief clearing could nudge toward 26°C (11%). Official station data from Xujiahui or Pudong will resolve the market by midnight UTC.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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