National Weather Service observations from Chicago O'Hare International Airport, the official recording site, confirm the high temperature reached 58°F on May 13, driving trader consensus to a 99.9% implied probability for the 58-59°F outcome amid persistent overcast skies and light rain that capped daytime heating. Cooler-than-normal conditions—versus the mid-May historical average of 69.5°F—stemmed from a recent cold front ushering northerly winds and Lake Michigan moderation, with hourly data peaking midday before stabilizing near 57°F daytime average. While market resolution hinges on final verified measurements, realistic challenges like minor instrument recalibrations or data audits could shift it by 1°F, though preliminary reports show strong alignment; expect the daily climatological summary within 24 hours for closure.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chicago on May 13?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 13?
58-59°F 99.9%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
64°F or higher <1%
$97,721 Vol.
$97,721 Vol.
58-59°F
100%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64°F or higher
<1%
58-59°F 99.9%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
64°F or higher <1%
$97,721 Vol.
$97,721 Vol.
58-59°F
100%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 11, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service observations from Chicago O'Hare International Airport, the official recording site, confirm the high temperature reached 58°F on May 13, driving trader consensus to a 99.9% implied probability for the 58-59°F outcome amid persistent overcast skies and light rain that capped daytime heating. Cooler-than-normal conditions—versus the mid-May historical average of 69.5°F—stemmed from a recent cold front ushering northerly winds and Lake Michigan moderation, with hourly data peaking midday before stabilizing near 57°F daytime average. While market resolution hinges on final verified measurements, realistic challenges like minor instrument recalibrations or data audits could shift it by 1°F, though preliminary reports show strong alignment; expect the daily climatological summary within 24 hours for closure.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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