NEA's fortnightly outlook for 1-15 May 2026 forecasts inter-monsoon conditions with light winds, afternoon thundery showers on most days, and daily maximum temperatures of 33-35°C—slightly exceeding 35°C on few occasions—driving trader consensus toward 32°C (60.5% implied probability) and 33°C (33.0%), aggregating over 93% market-implied odds. Frequent showers cap solar heating and peak intensities despite persistent tropical warmth and urban heat island effects in Singapore, where May climatology averages 31°C highs but sees elevated readings amid low wind shear. Recent days' patterns align with this moderation, though uncertainty persists from variable cloud cover; afternoon developments today will clarify the outcome per NEA monitoring.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Singapore on May 14?
Highest temperature in Singapore on May 14?
32°C 60%
33°C 34%
34°C 3.4%
35°C or higher <1%
$48,640 Vol.
$48,640 Vol.
31°C
<1%
32°C
60%
33°C
34%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 60%
33°C 34%
34°C 3.4%
35°C or higher <1%
$48,640 Vol.
$48,640 Vol.
31°C
<1%
32°C
60%
33°C
34%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...NEA's fortnightly outlook for 1-15 May 2026 forecasts inter-monsoon conditions with light winds, afternoon thundery showers on most days, and daily maximum temperatures of 33-35°C—slightly exceeding 35°C on few occasions—driving trader consensus toward 32°C (60.5% implied probability) and 33°C (33.0%), aggregating over 93% market-implied odds. Frequent showers cap solar heating and peak intensities despite persistent tropical warmth and urban heat island effects in Singapore, where May climatology averages 31°C highs but sees elevated readings amid low wind shear. Recent days' patterns align with this moderation, though uncertainty persists from variable cloud cover; afternoon developments today will clarify the outcome per NEA monitoring.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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