Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in ensemble forecasts for Seoul's May 18 minimum temperature, with outcomes clustered evenly around 12–16°C as KMA guidance projects a low near 16°C under clear skies, light easterly winds, and a daytime high of 28°C at nearby Incheon. Recent Korea Meteorological Administration updates show a stable high-pressure ridge delivering warmer-than-average spring conditions, with minima rising from 13°C on May 14 to 15–16°C through May 17 amid minimal cloud cover favoring radiative cooling. Differentiating factors include exact wind speeds—calmer flows could drop to 12–14°C via enhanced cooling—versus residual daytime heat pushing toward 17–19°C, per AccuWeather's 19°C estimate. New KMA short-term forecasts and ECMWF/GFS runs by May 17 will sharpen resolution criteria tied to official Seoul station observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Seúl el 18 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Seúl el 18 de mayo?
11°C o menos 48%
15°C 30%
21°C o más 21%
14°C 19%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 may 2026
11°C o menos
48%
12°C
18%
13°C
18%
14°C
19%
15°C
30%
16°C
18%
17°C
18%
18°C
18%
19°C
18%
20°C
16%
21°C o más
21%
11°C o menos 48%
15°C 30%
21°C o más 21%
14°C 19%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 may 2026
11°C o menos
$67 Vol.
48%
12°C
$0 Vol.
18%
13°C
$0 Vol.
18%
14°C
$0 Vol.
19%
15°C
$0 Vol.
30%
16°C
$0 Vol.
18%
17°C
$0 Vol.
18%
18°C
$0 Vol.
18%
19°C
$0 Vol.
18%
20°C
$20 Vol.
16%
21°C o más
$55 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in ensemble forecasts for Seoul's May 18 minimum temperature, with outcomes clustered evenly around 12–16°C as KMA guidance projects a low near 16°C under clear skies, light easterly winds, and a daytime high of 28°C at nearby Incheon. Recent Korea Meteorological Administration updates show a stable high-pressure ridge delivering warmer-than-average spring conditions, with minima rising from 13°C on May 14 to 15–16°C through May 17 amid minimal cloud cover favoring radiative cooling. Differentiating factors include exact wind speeds—calmer flows could drop to 12–14°C via enhanced cooling—versus residual daytime heat pushing toward 17–19°C, per AccuWeather's 19°C estimate. New KMA short-term forecasts and ECMWF/GFS runs by May 17 will sharpen resolution criteria tied to official Seoul station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$142Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in ensemble forecasts for Seoul's May 18 minimum temperature, with outcomes clustered evenly around 12–16°C as KMA guidance projects a low near 16°C under clear skies, light easterly winds, and a daytime high of 28°C at nearby Incheon. Recent Korea Meteorological Administration updates show a stable high-pressure ridge delivering warmer-than-average spring conditions, with minima rising from 13°C on May 14 to 15–16°C through May 17 amid minimal cloud cover favoring radiative cooling. Differentiating factors include exact wind speeds—calmer flows could drop to 12–14°C via enhanced cooling—versus residual daytime heat pushing toward 17–19°C, per AccuWeather's 19°C estimate. New KMA short-term forecasts and ECMWF/GFS runs by May 17 will sharpen resolution criteria tied to official Seoul station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$142Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSITrader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in ensemble forecasts for Seoul's May 18 minimum temperature, with outcomes clustered evenly around 12–16°C as KMA guidance projects a low near 16°C under clear skies, light easterly winds, and a daytime high of 28°C at nearby Incheon. Recent Korea Meteorological Administration updates show a stable high-pressure ridge delivering warmer-than-average spring conditions, with minima rising from 13°C on May 14 to 15–16°C through May 17 amid minimal cloud cover favoring radiative cooling. Differentiating factors include exact wind speeds—calmer flows could drop to 12–14°C via enhanced cooling—versus residual daytime heat pushing toward 17–19°C, per AccuWeather's 19°C estimate. New KMA short-term forecasts and ECMWF/GFS runs by May 17 will sharpen resolution criteria tied to official Seoul station observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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