National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to Austin highs near 89°F on May 16 under a building upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime heating, positioning 88-89°F (32%) narrowly ahead of 90°F or higher (27%) in trader sentiment. Close odds reflect uncertainty in differentiating factors like afternoon cumulus cloud formation, southwesterly boundary layer winds mixing heat downward, and peak solar insolation timing at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport—the official observing site. Climatological May 16 normals average 86°F, but rain-free conditions through the weekend favor above-normal readings. New 00Z/12Z GFS and ECMWF runs on May 15 could sharpen this spread.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Austin on May 16?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 16?
90°F or higher 41%
88-89°F 34%
86-87°F 27%
84-85°F 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 may 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
27%
88-89°F
34%
90°F or higher
41%
90°F or higher 41%
88-89°F 34%
86-87°F 27%
84-85°F 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 may 2026
71°F or below
$159 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$13 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$13 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$18 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$119 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$3 Vol.
3%
82-83°F
$3 Vol.
3%
84-85°F
$3 Vol.
7%
86-87°F
$109 Vol.
27%
88-89°F
$181 Vol.
34%
90°F or higher
$79 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to Austin highs near 89°F on May 16 under a building upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime heating, positioning 88-89°F (32%) narrowly ahead of 90°F or higher (27%) in trader sentiment. Close odds reflect uncertainty in differentiating factors like afternoon cumulus cloud formation, southwesterly boundary layer winds mixing heat downward, and peak solar insolation timing at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport—the official observing site. Climatological May 16 normals average 86°F, but rain-free conditions through the weekend favor above-normal readings. New 00Z/12Z GFS and ECMWF runs on May 15 could sharpen this spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Volumen
$658Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to Austin highs near 89°F on May 16 under a building upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime heating, positioning 88-89°F (32%) narrowly ahead of 90°F or higher (27%) in trader sentiment. Close odds reflect uncertainty in differentiating factors like afternoon cumulus cloud formation, southwesterly boundary layer winds mixing heat downward, and peak solar insolation timing at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport—the official observing site. Climatological May 16 normals average 86°F, but rain-free conditions through the weekend favor above-normal readings. New 00Z/12Z GFS and ECMWF runs on May 15 could sharpen this spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$658Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to Austin highs near 89°F on May 16 under a building upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime heating, positioning 88-89°F (32%) narrowly ahead of 90°F or higher (27%) in trader sentiment. Close odds reflect uncertainty in differentiating factors like afternoon cumulus cloud formation, southwesterly boundary layer winds mixing heat downward, and peak solar insolation timing at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport—the official observing site. Climatological May 16 normals average 86°F, but rain-free conditions through the weekend favor above-normal readings. New 00Z/12Z GFS and ECMWF runs on May 15 could sharpen this spread.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes