Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated 11:30 HKT on May 14, projects a 25–29°C range for May 18 with mainly cloudy skies and a few showers, as a trough of low pressure lingers over the northern South China Sea, limiting radiative cooling overnight. Trader sentiment remains tightly clustered across 19–28°C outcomes due to inherent uncertainty in day-5 model guidance, where ensemble spreads reflect variables like cloud cover persistence—trapping heat to favor 25°C+ minima—or brief clearings enabling drops toward 20–22°C amid southeast winds and 75–95% humidity. Climatological late-May lows average 24–26°C under neutral ENSO conditions. Refined HKO updates expected twice daily through May 17 will clarify steering patterns and intensity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 18 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 18 de mayo?
25°C 27%
18°C o menos 20.0%
24°C 19%
26°C 19%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 may 2026
18°C o menos
20%
19°C
9%
20°C
19%
21°C
18%
22°C
18%
23°C
18%
24°C
19%
25°C
27%
26°C
19%
27°C
18%
28°C o más
16%
25°C 27%
18°C o menos 20.0%
24°C 19%
26°C 19%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 may 2026
18°C o menos
$109 Vol.
20%
19°C
$344 Vol.
9%
20°C
$0 Vol.
19%
21°C
$0 Vol.
18%
22°C
$0 Vol.
18%
23°C
$0 Vol.
18%
24°C
$0 Vol.
19%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
19%
27°C
$0 Vol.
18%
28°C o más
$38 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated 11:30 HKT on May 14, projects a 25–29°C range for May 18 with mainly cloudy skies and a few showers, as a trough of low pressure lingers over the northern South China Sea, limiting radiative cooling overnight. Trader sentiment remains tightly clustered across 19–28°C outcomes due to inherent uncertainty in day-5 model guidance, where ensemble spreads reflect variables like cloud cover persistence—trapping heat to favor 25°C+ minima—or brief clearings enabling drops toward 20–22°C amid southeast winds and 75–95% humidity. Climatological late-May lows average 24–26°C under neutral ENSO conditions. Refined HKO updates expected twice daily through May 17 will clarify steering patterns and intensity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$491Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated 11:30 HKT on May 14, projects a 25–29°C range for May 18 with mainly cloudy skies and a few showers, as a trough of low pressure lingers over the northern South China Sea, limiting radiative cooling overnight. Trader sentiment remains tightly clustered across 19–28°C outcomes due to inherent uncertainty in day-5 model guidance, where ensemble spreads reflect variables like cloud cover persistence—trapping heat to favor 25°C+ minima—or brief clearings enabling drops toward 20–22°C amid southeast winds and 75–95% humidity. Climatological late-May lows average 24–26°C under neutral ENSO conditions. Refined HKO updates expected twice daily through May 17 will clarify steering patterns and intensity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$491Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETHong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated 11:30 HKT on May 14, projects a 25–29°C range for May 18 with mainly cloudy skies and a few showers, as a trough of low pressure lingers over the northern South China Sea, limiting radiative cooling overnight. Trader sentiment remains tightly clustered across 19–28°C outcomes due to inherent uncertainty in day-5 model guidance, where ensemble spreads reflect variables like cloud cover persistence—trapping heat to favor 25°C+ minima—or brief clearings enabling drops toward 20–22°C amid southeast winds and 75–95% humidity. Climatological late-May lows average 24–26°C under neutral ENSO conditions. Refined HKO updates expected twice daily through May 17 will clarify steering patterns and intensity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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