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icon for ¿Caso confirmado de hantavirus en EE. UU. antes del 15 de mayo?

¿Caso confirmado de hantavirus en EE. UU. antes del 15 de mayo?

icon for ¿Caso confirmado de hantavirus en EE. UU. antes del 15 de mayo?

¿Caso confirmado de hantavirus en EE. UU. antes del 15 de mayo?

Sí

43% probabilidad
Polymarket

$81,931 Vol.

Sí

43% probabilidad
Polymarket

$81,931 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 58% probability of no confirmed hantavirus case in the US by May 15, driven by the absence of any laboratory-confirmed Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS) cases reported domestically through early May 2026, according to CDC surveillance data. This reflects the disease's rarity—typically 20-40 cases annually, concentrated in western states during spring cleaning season—with no uptick despite heightened vigilance following a May 2 multi-country Andes virus cluster on an Atlantic cruise ship, which has yielded no US transmissions among monitored repatriated passengers. Epidemiological baselines and extremely low public risk assessment from CDC sustain the No lead, though weekly notifiable disease reports through May 15 could shift odds if new rodent-exposure cases emerge in high-incidence areas like New Mexico or Arizona.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volumen
$81,931
Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026
Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 12:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 58% probability of no confirmed hantavirus case in the US by May 15, driven by the absence of any laboratory-confirmed Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS) cases reported domestically through early May 2026, according to CDC surveillance data. This reflects the disease's rarity—typically 20-40 cases annually, concentrated in western states during spring cleaning season—with no uptick despite heightened vigilance following a May 2 multi-country Andes virus cluster on an Atlantic cruise ship, which has yielded no US transmissions among monitored repatriated passengers. Epidemiological baselines and extremely low public risk assessment from CDC sustain the No lead, though weekly notifiable disease reports through May 15 could shift odds if new rodent-exposure cases emerge in high-incidence areas like New Mexico or Arizona.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volumen
$81,931
Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026
Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 12:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Caso confirmado de hantavirus en EE. UU. antes del 15 de mayo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Caso confirmado de Hantavirus en EE. UU. hasta el 15 de mayo?" con 43%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 43¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 43% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Caso confirmado de hantavirus en EE. UU. antes del 15 de mayo?" ha generado $81.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 7, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Caso confirmado de hantavirus en EE. UU. antes del 15 de mayo?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Caso confirmado de hantavirus en EE. UU. antes del 15 de mayo?" es "¿Caso confirmado de Hantavirus en EE. UU. hasta el 15 de mayo?" con 43%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 43% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Caso confirmado de hantavirus en EE. UU. antes del 15 de mayo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.