Hong Kong Observatory's latest local forecast points to a maximum temperature of 29°C today, driving trader consensus toward that outcome at 58.5% implied probability, with 30°C close behind at 32%. This aligns with the seasonal outlook for May-July 2026, which anticipates normal to above-normal temperatures amid a year projected among Hong Kong's 10 warmest on record due to persistent subtropical ridge influence and elevated sea surface temperatures. Current observations show late-morning readings around 27-28°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate humidity, leaving room for afternoon heating but limited upside for 31°C or higher given model consensus on stable atmospheric conditions. Historical May climatology supports highs near 29°C, with resolution based on the Observatory's official King's Park measurement by midnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 14?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 14?
29°C 64%
30°C 32%
31°C or higher 7.0%
21°C or below <1%
NUEVO
$118,284 Vol.
NUEVO
$118,284 Vol.
14 may 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
64%
30°C
32%
31°C or higher
7%
29°C 64%
30°C 32%
31°C or higher 7.0%
21°C or below <1%
NUEVO
$118,284 Vol.
NUEVO
$118,284 Vol.
14 may 2026
21°C or below
$2,346 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,370 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,870 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$4,279 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$5,131 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$30,119 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$27,608 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$16,034 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$8,114 Vol.
64%
30°C
$11,134 Vol.
32%
31°C or higher
$9,869 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest local forecast points to a maximum temperature of 29°C today, driving trader consensus toward that outcome at 58.5% implied probability, with 30°C close behind at 32%. This aligns with the seasonal outlook for May-July 2026, which anticipates normal to above-normal temperatures amid a year projected among Hong Kong's 10 warmest on record due to persistent subtropical ridge influence and elevated sea surface temperatures. Current observations show late-morning readings around 27-28°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate humidity, leaving room for afternoon heating but limited upside for 31°C or higher given model consensus on stable atmospheric conditions. Historical May climatology supports highs near 29°C, with resolution based on the Observatory's official King's Park measurement by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Volumen
$118,284Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest local forecast points to a maximum temperature of 29°C today, driving trader consensus toward that outcome at 58.5% implied probability, with 30°C close behind at 32%. This aligns with the seasonal outlook for May-July 2026, which anticipates normal to above-normal temperatures amid a year projected among Hong Kong's 10 warmest on record due to persistent subtropical ridge influence and elevated sea surface temperatures. Current observations show late-morning readings around 27-28°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate humidity, leaving room for afternoon heating but limited upside for 31°C or higher given model consensus on stable atmospheric conditions. Historical May climatology supports highs near 29°C, with resolution based on the Observatory's official King's Park measurement by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$118,284Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's latest local forecast points to a maximum temperature of 29°C today, driving trader consensus toward that outcome at 58.5% implied probability, with 30°C close behind at 32%. This aligns with the seasonal outlook for May-July 2026, which anticipates normal to above-normal temperatures amid a year projected among Hong Kong's 10 warmest on record due to persistent subtropical ridge influence and elevated sea surface temperatures. Current observations show late-morning readings around 27-28°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate humidity, leaving room for afternoon heating but limited upside for 31°C or higher given model consensus on stable atmospheric conditions. Historical May climatology supports highs near 29°C, with resolution based on the Observatory's official King's Park measurement by midnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes