China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast pins Beijing's highest temperature on May 14 at 32°C under persistent clear sunny skies, driving trader consensus toward 33°C or below at 86.5% implied probability amid North China's first 2026 heatwave. Recent daytime highs of 31–33°C—4–6°C above the 27°C May climatological norm—stem from a stubborn high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, low humidity below 40%, and intense radiative heating from unobstructed solar insolation. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble consensus near 32–33°C, with minor upside risk to 34°C (11.5%) if southerly winds slacken further, while extremes above 35°C lack supporting dynamical signals. Hourly CMA observations through evening will finalize the peak, resolving market uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Beijing on May 14?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 14?
33°C or below 83%
34°C 16%
35°C 2.1%
36°C <1%
NUEVO
$58,518 Vol.
NUEVO
$58,518 Vol.
14 may 2026
33°C or below
83%
34°C
16%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
33°C or below 83%
34°C 16%
35°C 2.1%
36°C <1%
NUEVO
$58,518 Vol.
NUEVO
$58,518 Vol.
14 may 2026
33°C or below
$8,973 Vol.
83%
34°C
$5,634 Vol.
16%
35°C
$6,709 Vol.
2%
36°C
$5,462 Vol.
1%
37°C
$5,840 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$5,495 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$4,120 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$2,877 Vol.
<1%
41°C
$1,847 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$2,972 Vol.
<1%
43°C or higher
$8,675 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast pins Beijing's highest temperature on May 14 at 32°C under persistent clear sunny skies, driving trader consensus toward 33°C or below at 86.5% implied probability amid North China's first 2026 heatwave. Recent daytime highs of 31–33°C—4–6°C above the 27°C May climatological norm—stem from a stubborn high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, low humidity below 40%, and intense radiative heating from unobstructed solar insolation. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble consensus near 32–33°C, with minor upside risk to 34°C (11.5%) if southerly winds slacken further, while extremes above 35°C lack supporting dynamical signals. Hourly CMA observations through evening will finalize the peak, resolving market uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
Volumen
$58,518Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:25 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast pins Beijing's highest temperature on May 14 at 32°C under persistent clear sunny skies, driving trader consensus toward 33°C or below at 86.5% implied probability amid North China's first 2026 heatwave. Recent daytime highs of 31–33°C—4–6°C above the 27°C May climatological norm—stem from a stubborn high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, low humidity below 40%, and intense radiative heating from unobstructed solar insolation. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble consensus near 32–33°C, with minor upside risk to 34°C (11.5%) if southerly winds slacken further, while extremes above 35°C lack supporting dynamical signals. Hourly CMA observations through evening will finalize the peak, resolving market uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$58,518Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:25 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast pins Beijing's highest temperature on May 14 at 32°C under persistent clear sunny skies, driving trader consensus toward 33°C or below at 86.5% implied probability amid North China's first 2026 heatwave. Recent daytime highs of 31–33°C—4–6°C above the 27°C May climatological norm—stem from a stubborn high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, low humidity below 40%, and intense radiative heating from unobstructed solar insolation. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble consensus near 32–33°C, with minor upside risk to 34°C (11.5%) if southerly winds slacken further, while extremes above 35°C lack supporting dynamical signals. Hourly CMA observations through evening will finalize the peak, resolving market uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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