Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a 25°C high temperature at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station today, with 60% implied probability, driven by Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecast models projecting afternoon peaks of 24-26°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering light southerly winds and partly cloudy skies. Recent daily highs over the past week ranged 23-26°C, aligning with above-normal May climatology (average 23°C) enhanced by Tokyo's urban heat island effect, while ECMWF and GFS ensembles center around 24-25°C. Increasing cloudiness and potential late-day showers cap upside risks, keeping 27°C or higher at 2.6%; real-time JMA hourly observations and station data through evening will clarify the peak amid typical spring uncertainties like sea breeze influences.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 14?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 14?
25°C 51%
24°C 35%
26°C 13%
27°C or higher 2.3%
NUEVO
$71,543 Vol.
NUEVO
$71,543 Vol.
14 may 2026
22°C
<1%
24°C
35%
25°C
51%
26°C
13%
27°C or higher
2%
25°C 51%
24°C 35%
26°C 13%
27°C or higher 2.3%
NUEVO
$71,543 Vol.
NUEVO
$71,543 Vol.
14 may 2026
22°C
$8,955 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$4,983 Vol.
35%
25°C
$4,097 Vol.
51%
26°C
$4,058 Vol.
13%
27°C or higher
$5,247 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a 25°C high temperature at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station today, with 60% implied probability, driven by Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecast models projecting afternoon peaks of 24-26°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering light southerly winds and partly cloudy skies. Recent daily highs over the past week ranged 23-26°C, aligning with above-normal May climatology (average 23°C) enhanced by Tokyo's urban heat island effect, while ECMWF and GFS ensembles center around 24-25°C. Increasing cloudiness and potential late-day showers cap upside risks, keeping 27°C or higher at 2.6%; real-time JMA hourly observations and station data through evening will clarify the peak amid typical spring uncertainties like sea breeze influences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
Volumen
$71,543Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:47 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a 25°C high temperature at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station today, with 60% implied probability, driven by Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecast models projecting afternoon peaks of 24-26°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering light southerly winds and partly cloudy skies. Recent daily highs over the past week ranged 23-26°C, aligning with above-normal May climatology (average 23°C) enhanced by Tokyo's urban heat island effect, while ECMWF and GFS ensembles center around 24-25°C. Increasing cloudiness and potential late-day showers cap upside risks, keeping 27°C or higher at 2.6%; real-time JMA hourly observations and station data through evening will clarify the peak amid typical spring uncertainties like sea breeze influences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$71,543Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:47 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a 25°C high temperature at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station today, with 60% implied probability, driven by Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecast models projecting afternoon peaks of 24-26°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering light southerly winds and partly cloudy skies. Recent daily highs over the past week ranged 23-26°C, aligning with above-normal May climatology (average 23°C) enhanced by Tokyo's urban heat island effect, while ECMWF and GFS ensembles center around 24-25°C. Increasing cloudiness and potential late-day showers cap upside risks, keeping 27°C or higher at 2.6%; real-time JMA hourly observations and station data through evening will clarify the peak amid typical spring uncertainties like sea breeze influences.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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