Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a 15°C high temperature at Wellington International Airport today, reflecting MetService and NIWA forecast models projecting a maximum of 13–15°C amid a high-pressure ridge ushering in mainly fine conditions with southerly winds gusting to 55 km/h. These cool southeast flows limit solar heating and insolation, consistent with May climatology where average highs hover around 14.3°C, while partial cloud cover adds slight variability. Recent updates from May 12–13 confirm no significant warming trend, solidifying the positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected wind easing or full clearing allowing brief spikes to 16°C, though low-probability given steering patterns and late-day proximity to resolution via official observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wellington on May 14?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 14?
15°C 99.4%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
18°C or higher <1%
NUEVO
$50,769 Vol.
NUEVO
$50,769 Vol.
14 may 2026
15°C
99%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
15°C 99.4%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
18°C or higher <1%
NUEVO
$50,769 Vol.
NUEVO
$50,769 Vol.
14 may 2026
15°C
$5,121 Vol.
99%
16°C
$4,548 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$4,672 Vol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$5,639 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a 15°C high temperature at Wellington International Airport today, reflecting MetService and NIWA forecast models projecting a maximum of 13–15°C amid a high-pressure ridge ushering in mainly fine conditions with southerly winds gusting to 55 km/h. These cool southeast flows limit solar heating and insolation, consistent with May climatology where average highs hover around 14.3°C, while partial cloud cover adds slight variability. Recent updates from May 12–13 confirm no significant warming trend, solidifying the positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected wind easing or full clearing allowing brief spikes to 16°C, though low-probability given steering patterns and late-day proximity to resolution via official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volumen
$50,769Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a 15°C high temperature at Wellington International Airport today, reflecting MetService and NIWA forecast models projecting a maximum of 13–15°C amid a high-pressure ridge ushering in mainly fine conditions with southerly winds gusting to 55 km/h. These cool southeast flows limit solar heating and insolation, consistent with May climatology where average highs hover around 14.3°C, while partial cloud cover adds slight variability. Recent updates from May 12–13 confirm no significant warming trend, solidifying the positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected wind easing or full clearing allowing brief spikes to 16°C, though low-probability given steering patterns and late-day proximity to resolution via official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$50,769Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a 15°C high temperature at Wellington International Airport today, reflecting MetService and NIWA forecast models projecting a maximum of 13–15°C amid a high-pressure ridge ushering in mainly fine conditions with southerly winds gusting to 55 km/h. These cool southeast flows limit solar heating and insolation, consistent with May climatology where average highs hover around 14.3°C, while partial cloud cover adds slight variability. Recent updates from May 12–13 confirm no significant warming trend, solidifying the positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected wind easing or full clearing allowing brief spikes to 16°C, though low-probability given steering patterns and late-day proximity to resolution via official observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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