Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close clustering around 23-27°C for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on May 16, mirroring ensemble forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) and global systems like ECMWF and GFS, which project daytime highs of 24-26°C under high-pressure subsidence and light winds. Recent Sharav-like heat earlier in May, with inland peaks exceeding 30°C on May 12-14, has given way to milder coastal conditions, where sea breeze onset—typically strengthening mid-afternoon—could cap peaks at 24-25°C by enhancing low-level convergence and cooling. Differentiating factors include precise timing of breeze development and any stray clouds, introducing 1-2°C uncertainty; IMS updates expected May 15 may refine guidance ahead of resolution based on official Tel Aviv station observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 16?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 16?
25°C 36%
24°C 25%
26°C 13%
23°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 may 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
12%
24°C
22%
25°C
30%
26°C
13%
27°C
3%
28°C or higher
1%
25°C 36%
24°C 25%
26°C 13%
23°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 may 2026
18°C or below
$728 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$45 Vol.
1%
20°C
$20 Vol.
1%
21°C
$3 Vol.
2%
22°C
$0 Vol.
4%
23°C
$0 Vol.
12%
24°C
$45 Vol.
22%
25°C
$74 Vol.
30%
26°C
$21 Vol.
13%
27°C
$30 Vol.
3%
28°C or higher
$25 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close clustering around 23-27°C for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on May 16, mirroring ensemble forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) and global systems like ECMWF and GFS, which project daytime highs of 24-26°C under high-pressure subsidence and light winds. Recent Sharav-like heat earlier in May, with inland peaks exceeding 30°C on May 12-14, has given way to milder coastal conditions, where sea breeze onset—typically strengthening mid-afternoon—could cap peaks at 24-25°C by enhancing low-level convergence and cooling. Differentiating factors include precise timing of breeze development and any stray clouds, introducing 1-2°C uncertainty; IMS updates expected May 15 may refine guidance ahead of resolution based on official Tel Aviv station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Volumen
$991Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close clustering around 23-27°C for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on May 16, mirroring ensemble forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) and global systems like ECMWF and GFS, which project daytime highs of 24-26°C under high-pressure subsidence and light winds. Recent Sharav-like heat earlier in May, with inland peaks exceeding 30°C on May 12-14, has given way to milder coastal conditions, where sea breeze onset—typically strengthening mid-afternoon—could cap peaks at 24-25°C by enhancing low-level convergence and cooling. Differentiating factors include precise timing of breeze development and any stray clouds, introducing 1-2°C uncertainty; IMS updates expected May 15 may refine guidance ahead of resolution based on official Tel Aviv station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$991Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close clustering around 23-27°C for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on May 16, mirroring ensemble forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) and global systems like ECMWF and GFS, which project daytime highs of 24-26°C under high-pressure subsidence and light winds. Recent Sharav-like heat earlier in May, with inland peaks exceeding 30°C on May 12-14, has given way to milder coastal conditions, where sea breeze onset—typically strengthening mid-afternoon—could cap peaks at 24-25°C by enhancing low-level convergence and cooling. Differentiating factors include precise timing of breeze development and any stray clouds, introducing 1-2°C uncertainty; IMS updates expected May 15 may refine guidance ahead of resolution based on official Tel Aviv station observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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