Météo-France's latest forecast pins Paris's May 14 high at 13°C under persistent overcast skies and scattered showers from a low-pressure trough over western Europe, driving trader consensus toward 12°C at 51.5% implied probability. Ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS cluster tightly around 12–14°C, reflecting northerly airflow advecting cool Atlantic air masses that suppress diurnal heating—well below the 18°C May climatological average. This cool, unstable pattern has dominated Île-de-France for the past week, with yesterday's high near 15°C. Brief cloud breaks could nudge readings higher to 14°C, but traders price conservative outcomes amid high uncertainty; watch hourly Météo-France updates through afternoon for shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en París el 14 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en París el 14 de mayo?
12°C 52%
13°C 27%
11°C 18.6%
14°C 5.1%
NUEVO
$63,621 Vol.
NUEVO
$63,621 Vol.
14 may 2026
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
19%
12°C
52%
13°C
27%
14°C
5%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C o más
<1%
12°C 52%
13°C 27%
11°C 18.6%
14°C 5.1%
NUEVO
$63,621 Vol.
NUEVO
$63,621 Vol.
14 may 2026
9°C
$3,561 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$3,361 Vol.
2%
11°C
$4,581 Vol.
19%
12°C
$5,372 Vol.
52%
13°C
$5,671 Vol.
27%
14°C
$5,226 Vol.
5%
15°C
$3,319 Vol.
1%
16°C
$2,966 Vol.
1%
17°C o más
$2,118 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Météo-France's latest forecast pins Paris's May 14 high at 13°C under persistent overcast skies and scattered showers from a low-pressure trough over western Europe, driving trader consensus toward 12°C at 51.5% implied probability. Ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS cluster tightly around 12–14°C, reflecting northerly airflow advecting cool Atlantic air masses that suppress diurnal heating—well below the 18°C May climatological average. This cool, unstable pattern has dominated Île-de-France for the past week, with yesterday's high near 15°C. Brief cloud breaks could nudge readings higher to 14°C, but traders price conservative outcomes amid high uncertainty; watch hourly Météo-France updates through afternoon for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$63,621Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Météo-France's latest forecast pins Paris's May 14 high at 13°C under persistent overcast skies and scattered showers from a low-pressure trough over western Europe, driving trader consensus toward 12°C at 51.5% implied probability. Ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS cluster tightly around 12–14°C, reflecting northerly airflow advecting cool Atlantic air masses that suppress diurnal heating—well below the 18°C May climatological average. This cool, unstable pattern has dominated Île-de-France for the past week, with yesterday's high near 15°C. Brief cloud breaks could nudge readings higher to 14°C, but traders price conservative outcomes amid high uncertainty; watch hourly Météo-France updates through afternoon for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$63,621Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Météo-France's latest forecast pins Paris's May 14 high at 13°C under persistent overcast skies and scattered showers from a low-pressure trough over western Europe, driving trader consensus toward 12°C at 51.5% implied probability. Ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS cluster tightly around 12–14°C, reflecting northerly airflow advecting cool Atlantic air masses that suppress diurnal heating—well below the 18°C May climatological average. This cool, unstable pattern has dominated Île-de-France for the past week, with yesterday's high near 15°C. Brief cloud breaks could nudge readings higher to 14°C, but traders price conservative outcomes amid high uncertainty; watch hourly Météo-France updates through afternoon for shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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