Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 35°C high in Jeddah today at 75.5% implied probability, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF model runs from NOAA and European forecasting centers projecting peak temperatures around 35°C under high-pressure subsidence and clear skies typical of early May. This aligns with Jeddah's climatological average daily maximum of 35–36°C during the hot season onset, moderated by light northwesterly winds and Red Sea sea-breeze effects that cap extremes. April's exceptional cooler spells, including a 33°C high on April 30 per National Center for Meteorology reports, have transitioned to standard dry conditions, lowering odds for sub-35°C outcomes. Real-time observations from King Abdulaziz International Airport will resolve the market, with minor model uncertainty around breeze strength potentially tipping to 36°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Jeddah on May 1?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 1?
36°C 93%
37°C or higher 7.6%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$22,628 Vol.
$22,628 Vol.
1 may 2026
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
75%
37°C or higher
20%
36°C 93%
37°C or higher 7.6%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$22,628 Vol.
$22,628 Vol.
1 may 2026
33°C
$2,347 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$2,271 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$2,588 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$1,477 Vol.
75%
37°C or higher
$3,284 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 35°C high in Jeddah today at 75.5% implied probability, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF model runs from NOAA and European forecasting centers projecting peak temperatures around 35°C under high-pressure subsidence and clear skies typical of early May. This aligns with Jeddah's climatological average daily maximum of 35–36°C during the hot season onset, moderated by light northwesterly winds and Red Sea sea-breeze effects that cap extremes. April's exceptional cooler spells, including a 33°C high on April 30 per National Center for Meteorology reports, have transitioned to standard dry conditions, lowering odds for sub-35°C outcomes. Real-time observations from King Abdulaziz International Airport will resolve the market, with minor model uncertainty around breeze strength potentially tipping to 36°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$22,628Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 35°C high in Jeddah today at 75.5% implied probability, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF model runs from NOAA and European forecasting centers projecting peak temperatures around 35°C under high-pressure subsidence and clear skies typical of early May. This aligns with Jeddah's climatological average daily maximum of 35–36°C during the hot season onset, moderated by light northwesterly winds and Red Sea sea-breeze effects that cap extremes. April's exceptional cooler spells, including a 33°C high on April 30 per National Center for Meteorology reports, have transitioned to standard dry conditions, lowering odds for sub-35°C outcomes. Real-time observations from King Abdulaziz International Airport will resolve the market, with minor model uncertainty around breeze strength potentially tipping to 36°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$22,628Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 35°C high in Jeddah today at 75.5% implied probability, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF model runs from NOAA and European forecasting centers projecting peak temperatures around 35°C under high-pressure subsidence and clear skies typical of early May. This aligns with Jeddah's climatological average daily maximum of 35–36°C during the hot season onset, moderated by light northwesterly winds and Red Sea sea-breeze effects that cap extremes. April's exceptional cooler spells, including a 33°C high on April 30 per National Center for Meteorology reports, have transitioned to standard dry conditions, lowering odds for sub-35°C outcomes. Real-time observations from King Abdulaziz International Airport will resolve the market, with minor model uncertainty around breeze strength potentially tipping to 36°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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