Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 34°C as the leading outcome at 36.5% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature on May 1, reflecting tight clustering in short-range forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, alongside AccuWeather and Weather.com projections of 33–35°C (91–93°F) highs under persistent subtropical high pressure driving subsidence warming. Recent April observations, including 35°C on April 29 and forecasts near 33°C for April 30, combined with northerly winds introducing hazy conditions and sea-breeze moderation from the Red Sea, temper extremes above 36°C despite historical early-May averages around 35–36°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport. Updated model runs expected overnight could refine these odds ahead of official GAMEP measurements resolving the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Jeddah on May 1?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 1?
34°C 37%
33°C 17%
35°C 14%
36°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 may 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
6%
33°C
17%
34°C
37%
35°C
14%
36°C
14%
37°C or higher
7%
34°C 37%
33°C 17%
35°C 14%
36°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 may 2026
27°C or below
$668 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$437 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$432 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$295 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$440 Vol.
1%
32°C
$164 Vol.
6%
33°C
$155 Vol.
17%
34°C
$169 Vol.
37%
35°C
$380 Vol.
14%
36°C
$208 Vol.
14%
37°C or higher
$923 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 34°C as the leading outcome at 36.5% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature on May 1, reflecting tight clustering in short-range forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, alongside AccuWeather and Weather.com projections of 33–35°C (91–93°F) highs under persistent subtropical high pressure driving subsidence warming. Recent April observations, including 35°C on April 29 and forecasts near 33°C for April 30, combined with northerly winds introducing hazy conditions and sea-breeze moderation from the Red Sea, temper extremes above 36°C despite historical early-May averages around 35–36°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport. Updated model runs expected overnight could refine these odds ahead of official GAMEP measurements resolving the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$4,266Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 34°C as the leading outcome at 36.5% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature on May 1, reflecting tight clustering in short-range forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, alongside AccuWeather and Weather.com projections of 33–35°C (91–93°F) highs under persistent subtropical high pressure driving subsidence warming. Recent April observations, including 35°C on April 29 and forecasts near 33°C for April 30, combined with northerly winds introducing hazy conditions and sea-breeze moderation from the Red Sea, temper extremes above 36°C despite historical early-May averages around 35–36°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport. Updated model runs expected overnight could refine these odds ahead of official GAMEP measurements resolving the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$4,266Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 34°C as the leading outcome at 36.5% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature on May 1, reflecting tight clustering in short-range forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, alongside AccuWeather and Weather.com projections of 33–35°C (91–93°F) highs under persistent subtropical high pressure driving subsidence warming. Recent April observations, including 35°C on April 29 and forecasts near 33°C for April 30, combined with northerly winds introducing hazy conditions and sea-breeze moderation from the Red Sea, temper extremes above 36°C despite historical early-May averages around 35–36°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport. Updated model runs expected overnight could refine these odds ahead of official GAMEP measurements resolving the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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