Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models drive trader consensus toward 11–13°C highs for Istanbul on May 2, with 12°C at 44% edging 11°C at 37.5%, amid an ongoing cold snap ushering northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers. Recent developments include a sharp temperature drop over the past 24 hours—May 1 highs near 12°C per AccuWeather—with rain disrupting typical May warmth (historical averages ~20°C). Differentiating factors hinge on cloud persistence and precipitation timing: heavier afternoon drizzle favors 11°C by limiting insolation, while partial breaks boost 13°C odds. New 12z model runs and airport observations today could refine this uncertainty before resolution via NOAA Istanbul Airport data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 2 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 2 de mayo?
12°C 45%
11°C 37%
13°C 11%
10°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
8°C o menos
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
6%
11°C
37%
12°C
45%
13°C
11%
14°C
3%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C o más
<1%
12°C 45%
11°C 37%
13°C 11%
10°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
8°C o menos
$2,231 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$712 Vol.
1%
10°C
$429 Vol.
6%
11°C
$458 Vol.
37%
12°C
$550 Vol.
45%
13°C
$165 Vol.
11%
14°C
$454 Vol.
3%
15°C
$218 Vol.
1%
16°C
$185 Vol.
1%
17°C
$128 Vol.
<1%
18°C o más
$173 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models drive trader consensus toward 11–13°C highs for Istanbul on May 2, with 12°C at 44% edging 11°C at 37.5%, amid an ongoing cold snap ushering northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers. Recent developments include a sharp temperature drop over the past 24 hours—May 1 highs near 12°C per AccuWeather—with rain disrupting typical May warmth (historical averages ~20°C). Differentiating factors hinge on cloud persistence and precipitation timing: heavier afternoon drizzle favors 11°C by limiting insolation, while partial breaks boost 13°C odds. New 12z model runs and airport observations today could refine this uncertainty before resolution via NOAA Istanbul Airport data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$5,703Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models drive trader consensus toward 11–13°C highs for Istanbul on May 2, with 12°C at 44% edging 11°C at 37.5%, amid an ongoing cold snap ushering northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers. Recent developments include a sharp temperature drop over the past 24 hours—May 1 highs near 12°C per AccuWeather—with rain disrupting typical May warmth (historical averages ~20°C). Differentiating factors hinge on cloud persistence and precipitation timing: heavier afternoon drizzle favors 11°C by limiting insolation, while partial breaks boost 13°C odds. New 12z model runs and airport observations today could refine this uncertainty before resolution via NOAA Istanbul Airport data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$5,703Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models drive trader consensus toward 11–13°C highs for Istanbul on May 2, with 12°C at 44% edging 11°C at 37.5%, amid an ongoing cold snap ushering northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers. Recent developments include a sharp temperature drop over the past 24 hours—May 1 highs near 12°C per AccuWeather—with rain disrupting typical May warmth (historical averages ~20°C). Differentiating factors hinge on cloud persistence and precipitation timing: heavier afternoon drizzle favors 11°C by limiting insolation, while partial breaks boost 13°C odds. New 12z model runs and airport observations today could refine this uncertainty before resolution via NOAA Istanbul Airport data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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