Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated May 1 at 19:50 HKT, projects a maximum temperature of 28°C on May 2 under mainly cloudy skies with one or two showers, high humidity (70-90%), and east-to-southeast winds at force 3-4, driving trader consensus toward 28°C (43.5% implied probability) over 29°C (34.5%). Sunny intervals could boost insolation and push toward 29°C if showers are minimal, while persistent cloud cover or timely precipitation would cap at 27°C (16%), aligning with a developing trough of low pressure over central China ahead of a cold front on May 3. This reflects typical early-May climatology (average highs ~28°C) and April's mean maximum of 28°C, with short-range model uncertainty around 1-2°C; next HKO update at 11:30 HKT May 2 may refine odds before resolution based on official observatory readings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 2?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 2?
28°C 47%
29°C 35%
27°C 16%
30°C 7%
NUEVO
$33,531 Vol.
NUEVO
$33,531 Vol.
2 may 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
16%
28°C
47%
29°C
35%
30°C
7%
31°C or higher
1%
28°C 47%
29°C 35%
27°C 16%
30°C 7%
NUEVO
$33,531 Vol.
NUEVO
$33,531 Vol.
2 may 2026
21°C or below
$2,589 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,212 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,694 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,629 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,034 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$5,006 Vol.
1%
27°C
$2,205 Vol.
16%
28°C
$3,515 Vol.
47%
29°C
$2,611 Vol.
35%
30°C
$2,789 Vol.
7%
31°C or higher
$5,261 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated May 1 at 19:50 HKT, projects a maximum temperature of 28°C on May 2 under mainly cloudy skies with one or two showers, high humidity (70-90%), and east-to-southeast winds at force 3-4, driving trader consensus toward 28°C (43.5% implied probability) over 29°C (34.5%). Sunny intervals could boost insolation and push toward 29°C if showers are minimal, while persistent cloud cover or timely precipitation would cap at 27°C (16%), aligning with a developing trough of low pressure over central China ahead of a cold front on May 3. This reflects typical early-May climatology (average highs ~28°C) and April's mean maximum of 28°C, with short-range model uncertainty around 1-2°C; next HKO update at 11:30 HKT May 2 may refine odds before resolution based on official observatory readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Volumen
$33,531Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated May 1 at 19:50 HKT, projects a maximum temperature of 28°C on May 2 under mainly cloudy skies with one or two showers, high humidity (70-90%), and east-to-southeast winds at force 3-4, driving trader consensus toward 28°C (43.5% implied probability) over 29°C (34.5%). Sunny intervals could boost insolation and push toward 29°C if showers are minimal, while persistent cloud cover or timely precipitation would cap at 27°C (16%), aligning with a developing trough of low pressure over central China ahead of a cold front on May 3. This reflects typical early-May climatology (average highs ~28°C) and April's mean maximum of 28°C, with short-range model uncertainty around 1-2°C; next HKO update at 11:30 HKT May 2 may refine odds before resolution based on official observatory readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$33,531Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated May 1 at 19:50 HKT, projects a maximum temperature of 28°C on May 2 under mainly cloudy skies with one or two showers, high humidity (70-90%), and east-to-southeast winds at force 3-4, driving trader consensus toward 28°C (43.5% implied probability) over 29°C (34.5%). Sunny intervals could boost insolation and push toward 29°C if showers are minimal, while persistent cloud cover or timely precipitation would cap at 27°C (16%), aligning with a developing trough of low pressure over central China ahead of a cold front on May 3. This reflects typical early-May climatology (average highs ~28°C) and April's mean maximum of 28°C, with short-range model uncertainty around 1-2°C; next HKO update at 11:30 HKT May 2 may refine odds before resolution based on official observatory readings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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