Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast, updated midday on May 1, projects a maximum temperature of 26°C at the Observatory amid mainly cloudy skies and an easterly airstream bringing high humidity levels of 70-90%. Current observations confirm this positioning, with air temperatures reaching 25-26°C across urban stations by afternoon, limited by persistent cloud cover that reduces solar insolation despite typical May climatological highs around 28-29°C. Trader consensus at 99.6% implied probability reflects this robust model agreement and real-time data, as the day nears its end. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks allowing brief late heating to 27°C, though fresh winds and approaching trough reduce this likelihood; final HKO measurement resolves the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 1?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 1?
26°C 99.6%
27°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$275,387 Vol.
$275,387 Vol.
1 may 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.6%
27°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$275,387 Vol.
$275,387 Vol.
1 may 2026
19°C or below
$5,363 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$3,269 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$5,056 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$5,940 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$13,876 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$22,041 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$29,607 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$58,484 Vol.
100%
27°C
$64,438 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$35,536 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$33,046 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast, updated midday on May 1, projects a maximum temperature of 26°C at the Observatory amid mainly cloudy skies and an easterly airstream bringing high humidity levels of 70-90%. Current observations confirm this positioning, with air temperatures reaching 25-26°C across urban stations by afternoon, limited by persistent cloud cover that reduces solar insolation despite typical May climatological highs around 28-29°C. Trader consensus at 99.6% implied probability reflects this robust model agreement and real-time data, as the day nears its end. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks allowing brief late heating to 27°C, though fresh winds and approaching trough reduce this likelihood; final HKO measurement resolves the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$275,387Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast, updated midday on May 1, projects a maximum temperature of 26°C at the Observatory amid mainly cloudy skies and an easterly airstream bringing high humidity levels of 70-90%. Current observations confirm this positioning, with air temperatures reaching 25-26°C across urban stations by afternoon, limited by persistent cloud cover that reduces solar insolation despite typical May climatological highs around 28-29°C. Trader consensus at 99.6% implied probability reflects this robust model agreement and real-time data, as the day nears its end. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks allowing brief late heating to 27°C, though fresh winds and approaching trough reduce this likelihood; final HKO measurement resolves the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$275,387Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast, updated midday on May 1, projects a maximum temperature of 26°C at the Observatory amid mainly cloudy skies and an easterly airstream bringing high humidity levels of 70-90%. Current observations confirm this positioning, with air temperatures reaching 25-26°C across urban stations by afternoon, limited by persistent cloud cover that reduces solar insolation despite typical May climatological highs around 28-29°C. Trader consensus at 99.6% implied probability reflects this robust model agreement and real-time data, as the day nears its end. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks allowing brief late heating to 27°C, though fresh winds and approaching trough reduce this likelihood; final HKO measurement resolves the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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