Hong Kong Observatory's latest local weather forecast, updated midday on May 1, projects a maximum temperature of 26°C amid mainly cloudy skies and a trough of low pressure over central China, driving the market's overwhelming 99.5% implied probability on this outcome as trader consensus aligns with this authoritative guidance. Current observations at the Observatory show air temperatures holding around 25°C in the late afternoon, with high humidity (70-80%) and light winds consistent with model consensus suppressing daytime heating below typical May averages of 28°C. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists—such as brief sunny intervals sparking a late surge to 27°C or higher—cloud cover and the developing cold front make significant deviations unlikely as the day progresses toward evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 1?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 1?
26°C 99.4%
27°C <1%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
$262,700 Vol.
$262,700 Vol.
1 may 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
99%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.4%
27°C <1%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
$262,700 Vol.
$262,700 Vol.
1 may 2026
19°C or below
$4,363 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$3,269 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$5,056 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$5,940 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$12,876 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$21,917 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$29,310 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$55,204 Vol.
99%
27°C
$56,527 Vol.
1%
28°C
$35,525 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$33,016 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest local weather forecast, updated midday on May 1, projects a maximum temperature of 26°C amid mainly cloudy skies and a trough of low pressure over central China, driving the market's overwhelming 99.5% implied probability on this outcome as trader consensus aligns with this authoritative guidance. Current observations at the Observatory show air temperatures holding around 25°C in the late afternoon, with high humidity (70-80%) and light winds consistent with model consensus suppressing daytime heating below typical May averages of 28°C. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists—such as brief sunny intervals sparking a late surge to 27°C or higher—cloud cover and the developing cold front make significant deviations unlikely as the day progresses toward evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$262,700Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest local weather forecast, updated midday on May 1, projects a maximum temperature of 26°C amid mainly cloudy skies and a trough of low pressure over central China, driving the market's overwhelming 99.5% implied probability on this outcome as trader consensus aligns with this authoritative guidance. Current observations at the Observatory show air temperatures holding around 25°C in the late afternoon, with high humidity (70-80%) and light winds consistent with model consensus suppressing daytime heating below typical May averages of 28°C. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists—such as brief sunny intervals sparking a late surge to 27°C or higher—cloud cover and the developing cold front make significant deviations unlikely as the day progresses toward evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$262,700Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's latest local weather forecast, updated midday on May 1, projects a maximum temperature of 26°C amid mainly cloudy skies and a trough of low pressure over central China, driving the market's overwhelming 99.5% implied probability on this outcome as trader consensus aligns with this authoritative guidance. Current observations at the Observatory show air temperatures holding around 25°C in the late afternoon, with high humidity (70-80%) and light winds consistent with model consensus suppressing daytime heating below typical May averages of 28°C. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists—such as brief sunny intervals sparking a late surge to 27°C or higher—cloud cover and the developing cold front make significant deviations unlikely as the day progresses toward evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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