Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 42% probability for a 29°C high in Guangzhou on May 2, driven by the latest guidance from global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which cluster peaks around 28-29°C amid partly cloudy conditions and scattered showers limiting solar insolation. Early May climatology supports this, with historical daily highs averaging 28.3°C at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport, transitioning from cooler late-April observations of 25-26°C amid higher cloud cover and humidity near 80%. Southerly winds and elevated moisture from the South China Sea cap intensification potential, though minor model divergences could shift outcomes toward 30°C if clearing occurs; final observational data from China Meteorological Administration stations will resolve the market tomorrow.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on May 2?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 2?
29°C 48%
28°C 21%
30°C 16%
27°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
10%
28°C
21%
29°C
42%
30°C
19%
31°C
8%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 48%
28°C 21%
30°C 16%
27°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
23°C or below
$1,639 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,082 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$928 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$751 Vol.
1%
27°C
$192 Vol.
10%
28°C
$126 Vol.
21%
29°C
$73 Vol.
42%
30°C
$79 Vol.
19%
31°C
$205 Vol.
8%
32°C
$224 Vol.
6%
33°C or higher
$452 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 42% probability for a 29°C high in Guangzhou on May 2, driven by the latest guidance from global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which cluster peaks around 28-29°C amid partly cloudy conditions and scattered showers limiting solar insolation. Early May climatology supports this, with historical daily highs averaging 28.3°C at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport, transitioning from cooler late-April observations of 25-26°C amid higher cloud cover and humidity near 80%. Southerly winds and elevated moisture from the South China Sea cap intensification potential, though minor model divergences could shift outcomes toward 30°C if clearing occurs; final observational data from China Meteorological Administration stations will resolve the market tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Volumen
$5,745Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:34 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 42% probability for a 29°C high in Guangzhou on May 2, driven by the latest guidance from global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which cluster peaks around 28-29°C amid partly cloudy conditions and scattered showers limiting solar insolation. Early May climatology supports this, with historical daily highs averaging 28.3°C at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport, transitioning from cooler late-April observations of 25-26°C amid higher cloud cover and humidity near 80%. Southerly winds and elevated moisture from the South China Sea cap intensification potential, though minor model divergences could shift outcomes toward 30°C if clearing occurs; final observational data from China Meteorological Administration stations will resolve the market tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$5,745Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:34 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 42% probability for a 29°C high in Guangzhou on May 2, driven by the latest guidance from global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which cluster peaks around 28-29°C amid partly cloudy conditions and scattered showers limiting solar insolation. Early May climatology supports this, with historical daily highs averaging 28.3°C at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport, transitioning from cooler late-April observations of 25-26°C amid higher cloud cover and humidity near 80%. Southerly winds and elevated moisture from the South China Sea cap intensification potential, though minor model divergences could shift outcomes toward 30°C if clearing occurs; final observational data from China Meteorological Administration stations will resolve the market tomorrow.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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