Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 23°C (78% implied probability) as the highest temperature recorded at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on May 1, driven by morning observational data from METAR reports showing midday readings around 23°C under persistent cloud cover and light showers, capping daytime heating. Recent China Meteorological Administration (CMA) updates and ECMWF model runs have adjusted downward from initial 26-28°C projections amid a moist trough over the Yangtze River basin, deviating from early-May climatological highs of 24-27°C. A 16% chance on 24°C reflects potential minor afternoon clearing, while 25°C or higher at 9.4% faces barriers from ongoing precipitation suppressing insolation; hourly airport measurements will clarify resolution later today.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chongqing on May 1?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 1?
23°C 97.2%
24°C 2.5%
25°C or higher <1%
$44,654 Vol.
$44,654 Vol.
1 may 2026
23°C
97%
24°C
3%
25°C or higher
1%
23°C 97.2%
24°C 2.5%
25°C or higher <1%
$44,654 Vol.
$44,654 Vol.
1 may 2026
23°C
$11,751 Vol.
97%
24°C
$8,479 Vol.
3%
25°C or higher
$14,357 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 23°C (78% implied probability) as the highest temperature recorded at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on May 1, driven by morning observational data from METAR reports showing midday readings around 23°C under persistent cloud cover and light showers, capping daytime heating. Recent China Meteorological Administration (CMA) updates and ECMWF model runs have adjusted downward from initial 26-28°C projections amid a moist trough over the Yangtze River basin, deviating from early-May climatological highs of 24-27°C. A 16% chance on 24°C reflects potential minor afternoon clearing, while 25°C or higher at 9.4% faces barriers from ongoing precipitation suppressing insolation; hourly airport measurements will clarify resolution later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:39 AM ET
Volumen
$44,654Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:39 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 23°C (78% implied probability) as the highest temperature recorded at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on May 1, driven by morning observational data from METAR reports showing midday readings around 23°C under persistent cloud cover and light showers, capping daytime heating. Recent China Meteorological Administration (CMA) updates and ECMWF model runs have adjusted downward from initial 26-28°C projections amid a moist trough over the Yangtze River basin, deviating from early-May climatological highs of 24-27°C. A 16% chance on 24°C reflects potential minor afternoon clearing, while 25°C or higher at 9.4% faces barriers from ongoing precipitation suppressing insolation; hourly airport measurements will clarify resolution later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$44,654Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:39 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 23°C (78% implied probability) as the highest temperature recorded at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on May 1, driven by morning observational data from METAR reports showing midday readings around 23°C under persistent cloud cover and light showers, capping daytime heating. Recent China Meteorological Administration (CMA) updates and ECMWF model runs have adjusted downward from initial 26-28°C projections amid a moist trough over the Yangtze River basin, deviating from early-May climatological highs of 24-27°C. A 16% chance on 24°C reflects potential minor afternoon clearing, while 25°C or higher at 9.4% faces barriers from ongoing precipitation suppressing insolation; hourly airport measurements will clarify resolution later today.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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