Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 18°C (48.5%) as Cape Town's highest temperature on May 2, closely trailed by 19°C (27.5%), reflecting the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecast of a 19°C maximum amid partly cloudy conditions, isolated showers, and damaging north-northwesterly winds gusting to 36 mph along the southwest coast. These odds stem from an approaching cold front positioned 750 km southwest, set for late Sunday landfall, which is ushering cooler Atlantic air and cloud cover that could cap daytime heating below typical early-May averages of around 20–21°C. Current observations on May 1 show cloudy, breezy weather with a forecasted 18°C high, aligning with model consensus from SAWS and international ensembles like ECMWF/GFS emphasizing synoptic suppression of temperatures; watch for afternoon SAWS updates or airport observations that could refine probabilities before resolution at Cape Town International Airport.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 2?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 2?
18°C 50%
19°C 29%
17°C 16.1%
20°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
15°C or below
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
13%
18°C
50%
19°C
29%
20°C
6%
21°C
4%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
18°C 50%
19°C 29%
17°C 16.1%
20°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
15°C or below
$878 Vol.
1%
16°C
$382 Vol.
1%
17°C
$145 Vol.
13%
18°C
$249 Vol.
50%
19°C
$386 Vol.
29%
20°C
$317 Vol.
6%
21°C
$731 Vol.
4%
22°C
$829 Vol.
1%
23°C
$730 Vol.
1%
24°C
$896 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$660 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 18°C (48.5%) as Cape Town's highest temperature on May 2, closely trailed by 19°C (27.5%), reflecting the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecast of a 19°C maximum amid partly cloudy conditions, isolated showers, and damaging north-northwesterly winds gusting to 36 mph along the southwest coast. These odds stem from an approaching cold front positioned 750 km southwest, set for late Sunday landfall, which is ushering cooler Atlantic air and cloud cover that could cap daytime heating below typical early-May averages of around 20–21°C. Current observations on May 1 show cloudy, breezy weather with a forecasted 18°C high, aligning with model consensus from SAWS and international ensembles like ECMWF/GFS emphasizing synoptic suppression of temperatures; watch for afternoon SAWS updates or airport observations that could refine probabilities before resolution at Cape Town International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$6,203Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 18°C (48.5%) as Cape Town's highest temperature on May 2, closely trailed by 19°C (27.5%), reflecting the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecast of a 19°C maximum amid partly cloudy conditions, isolated showers, and damaging north-northwesterly winds gusting to 36 mph along the southwest coast. These odds stem from an approaching cold front positioned 750 km southwest, set for late Sunday landfall, which is ushering cooler Atlantic air and cloud cover that could cap daytime heating below typical early-May averages of around 20–21°C. Current observations on May 1 show cloudy, breezy weather with a forecasted 18°C high, aligning with model consensus from SAWS and international ensembles like ECMWF/GFS emphasizing synoptic suppression of temperatures; watch for afternoon SAWS updates or airport observations that could refine probabilities before resolution at Cape Town International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$6,203Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 18°C (48.5%) as Cape Town's highest temperature on May 2, closely trailed by 19°C (27.5%), reflecting the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecast of a 19°C maximum amid partly cloudy conditions, isolated showers, and damaging north-northwesterly winds gusting to 36 mph along the southwest coast. These odds stem from an approaching cold front positioned 750 km southwest, set for late Sunday landfall, which is ushering cooler Atlantic air and cloud cover that could cap daytime heating below typical early-May averages of around 20–21°C. Current observations on May 1 show cloudy, breezy weather with a forecasted 18°C high, aligning with model consensus from SAWS and international ensembles like ECMWF/GFS emphasizing synoptic suppression of temperatures; watch for afternoon SAWS updates or airport observations that could refine probabilities before resolution at Cape Town International Airport.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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