Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 17°C (28.5%) and 18°C (21.5%) as the highest temperature at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol on May 3, reflecting KNMI's latest short-range guidance projecting a maximum near 21°C amid moderate showers and 80% precipitation chance, interspersed with sun. However, ECMWF and GFS ensemble means introduce uncertainty through variable cloud cover and southerly winds at force 3, potentially reducing insolation and capping peaks 2-4°C below deterministic runs—especially if Atlantic moisture lingers from the weekend transition. Historical early May averages hover at 15-16°C, but recent high-pressure warmth has set a warmer baseline; new 12Z model updates today and tomorrow's observations will clarify if partial clearing favors 18°C over 17°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 3 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 3 de mayo?
17°C 41%
18°C 33%
19°C 13%
16°C 10.8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 may 2026
11°C o menos
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
11%
17°C
41%
18°C
33%
19°C
13%
20°C
5%
21°C o más
2%
17°C 41%
18°C 33%
19°C 13%
16°C 10.8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 may 2026
11°C o menos
$5 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$0 Vol.
1%
14°C
$25 Vol.
2%
15°C
$20 Vol.
2%
16°C
$188 Vol.
11%
17°C
$80 Vol.
41%
18°C
$76 Vol.
33%
19°C
$11 Vol.
13%
20°C
$20 Vol.
5%
21°C o más
$110 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 17°C (28.5%) and 18°C (21.5%) as the highest temperature at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol on May 3, reflecting KNMI's latest short-range guidance projecting a maximum near 21°C amid moderate showers and 80% precipitation chance, interspersed with sun. However, ECMWF and GFS ensemble means introduce uncertainty through variable cloud cover and southerly winds at force 3, potentially reducing insolation and capping peaks 2-4°C below deterministic runs—especially if Atlantic moisture lingers from the weekend transition. Historical early May averages hover at 15-16°C, but recent high-pressure warmth has set a warmer baseline; new 12Z model updates today and tomorrow's observations will clarify if partial clearing favors 18°C over 17°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volumen
$540Fecha de finalización
3 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 17°C (28.5%) and 18°C (21.5%) as the highest temperature at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol on May 3, reflecting KNMI's latest short-range guidance projecting a maximum near 21°C amid moderate showers and 80% precipitation chance, interspersed with sun. However, ECMWF and GFS ensemble means introduce uncertainty through variable cloud cover and southerly winds at force 3, potentially reducing insolation and capping peaks 2-4°C below deterministic runs—especially if Atlantic moisture lingers from the weekend transition. Historical early May averages hover at 15-16°C, but recent high-pressure warmth has set a warmer baseline; new 12Z model updates today and tomorrow's observations will clarify if partial clearing favors 18°C over 17°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$540Fecha de finalización
3 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 17°C (28.5%) and 18°C (21.5%) as the highest temperature at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol on May 3, reflecting KNMI's latest short-range guidance projecting a maximum near 21°C amid moderate showers and 80% precipitation chance, interspersed with sun. However, ECMWF and GFS ensemble means introduce uncertainty through variable cloud cover and southerly winds at force 3, potentially reducing insolation and capping peaks 2-4°C below deterministic runs—especially if Atlantic moisture lingers from the weekend transition. Historical early May averages hover at 15-16°C, but recent high-pressure warmth has set a warmer baseline; new 12Z model updates today and tomorrow's observations will clarify if partial clearing favors 18°C over 17°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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