Trader consensus on Polymarket closely divides between 23°C (47.5%) and 24°C (44%) for Amsterdam Airport Schiphol's highest temperature on May 1, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction models amid a stable high-pressure ridge. The Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) issued its latest forecast on April 30, projecting a sunny day with 80% sunshine, maximum of 24°C, light southeasterly winds (Beaufort force 3), and just 10% precipitation chance, while Buienradar guidance favors 23°C under similar clear skies. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS models highlight sensitivity to boundary-layer mixing and subtle cloud cover variations, well above early May climatological norms of 15-17°C. Hourly updates and Schiphol observations will sharpen resolution tomorrow.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 1?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 1?
23°C 49%
24°C 36%
22°C 8%
25°C 5.3%
NUEVO
$18,922 Vol.
NUEVO
$18,922 Vol.
1 may 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
8%
23°C
49%
24°C
36%
25°C
5%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 49%
24°C 36%
22°C 8%
25°C 5.3%
NUEVO
$18,922 Vol.
NUEVO
$18,922 Vol.
1 may 2026
17°C or below
$361 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$3,255 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$2,133 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,204 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,512 Vol.
2%
22°C
$2,182 Vol.
8%
23°C
$1,603 Vol.
49%
24°C
$1,160 Vol.
36%
25°C
$1,099 Vol.
5%
26°C
$938 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$617 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely divides between 23°C (47.5%) and 24°C (44%) for Amsterdam Airport Schiphol's highest temperature on May 1, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction models amid a stable high-pressure ridge. The Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) issued its latest forecast on April 30, projecting a sunny day with 80% sunshine, maximum of 24°C, light southeasterly winds (Beaufort force 3), and just 10% precipitation chance, while Buienradar guidance favors 23°C under similar clear skies. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS models highlight sensitivity to boundary-layer mixing and subtle cloud cover variations, well above early May climatological norms of 15-17°C. Hourly updates and Schiphol observations will sharpen resolution tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Volumen
$18,922Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:15 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely divides between 23°C (47.5%) and 24°C (44%) for Amsterdam Airport Schiphol's highest temperature on May 1, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction models amid a stable high-pressure ridge. The Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) issued its latest forecast on April 30, projecting a sunny day with 80% sunshine, maximum of 24°C, light southeasterly winds (Beaufort force 3), and just 10% precipitation chance, while Buienradar guidance favors 23°C under similar clear skies. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS models highlight sensitivity to boundary-layer mixing and subtle cloud cover variations, well above early May climatological norms of 15-17°C. Hourly updates and Schiphol observations will sharpen resolution tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$18,922Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:15 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely divides between 23°C (47.5%) and 24°C (44%) for Amsterdam Airport Schiphol's highest temperature on May 1, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction models amid a stable high-pressure ridge. The Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) issued its latest forecast on April 30, projecting a sunny day with 80% sunshine, maximum of 24°C, light southeasterly winds (Beaufort force 3), and just 10% precipitation chance, while Buienradar guidance favors 23°C under similar clear skies. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS models highlight sensitivity to boundary-layer mixing and subtle cloud cover variations, well above early May climatological norms of 15-17°C. Hourly updates and Schiphol observations will sharpen resolution tomorrow.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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