Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's April 30 meeting with Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng to discuss President Trump's upcoming Beijing trip reinforces the near-consensus trader expectation of an in-person summit with Xi Jinping on May 14-15, amid discussions on Taiwan, trade, and supply chains. Recent diplomatic signals, including Beijing highlighting Taiwan as a key agenda item on April 29 and Trump's April 23 invitation to Vladimir Putin for the U.S.-hosted G20 summit in Miami later this year, elevate probabilities for major leaders like UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer and Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni amid scheduled state visits and multilateral events. Ongoing preparations for NATO's July Ankara summit and potential APEC engagements further shape sentiment, though lower-odds figures like Kim Jong Un face barriers from geopolitical tensions. Markets reflect skin-in-the-game bets on confirmed diplomacy through December 31.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$376,498 Vol.

Xi Jinping
94%

Giorgia Meloni
82%

Lula da Silva
77%

Keir Starmer
74%

Mohammed bin Salman
74%

Vladimir Putin
55%

Ahmed al-Sharaa
48%

Aleksandr Lukashenko
43%

Changpeng Zhao
43%

Pope Leo XIV
33%

MrBeast
17%

Kim Jong Un
17%

Nicolás Maduro
12%

iShowSpeed
10%

Jair Bolsonaro
10%

Nick Fuentes
8%

Lai Ching-te
6%

Yoon Suk Yeol
3%
$376,498 Vol.

Xi Jinping
94%

Giorgia Meloni
82%

Lula da Silva
77%

Keir Starmer
74%

Mohammed bin Salman
74%

Vladimir Putin
55%

Ahmed al-Sharaa
48%

Aleksandr Lukashenko
43%

Changpeng Zhao
43%

Pope Leo XIV
33%

MrBeast
17%

Kim Jong Un
17%

Nicolás Maduro
12%

iShowSpeed
10%

Jair Bolsonaro
10%

Nick Fuentes
8%

Lai Ching-te
6%

Yoon Suk Yeol
3%
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 4:53 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's April 30 meeting with Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng to discuss President Trump's upcoming Beijing trip reinforces the near-consensus trader expectation of an in-person summit with Xi Jinping on May 14-15, amid discussions on Taiwan, trade, and supply chains. Recent diplomatic signals, including Beijing highlighting Taiwan as a key agenda item on April 29 and Trump's April 23 invitation to Vladimir Putin for the U.S.-hosted G20 summit in Miami later this year, elevate probabilities for major leaders like UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer and Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni amid scheduled state visits and multilateral events. Ongoing preparations for NATO's July Ankara summit and potential APEC engagements further shape sentiment, though lower-odds figures like Kim Jong Un face barriers from geopolitical tensions. Markets reflect skin-in-the-game bets on confirmed diplomacy through December 31.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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