Recent polls from early June 2026 project Likud at 23–25 Knesset seats, reflecting a tight contest where the opposition “Together” slate led by Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid trails closely or edges ahead in some surveys. Netanyahu’s right-wing bloc remains short of a 61-seat majority while facing coalition strains and voter shifts toward centrist or other right-leaning options. Security developments in ongoing conflicts with Iran and Lebanon, along with internal Likud list negotiations and potential alliance changes, continue to drive volatility in polling averages. Traders price the 25–29 band highest because historical precedent and current trends favor modest gains for the incumbent party, yet narrow margins leave room for late swings from diplomatic breakthroughs, renewed escalation, or opposition consolidation ahead of the October 27 deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoIsrael Election: Likud # of seats?
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
25-29 33%
20-24 28%
30-34 19%
<20 14.3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
27 oct 2026
<20
14%
20-24
28%
25-29
33%
30-34
19%
35+
10%
25-29 33%
20-24 28%
30-34 19%
<20 14.3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
27 oct 2026
<20
$3,750 Vol.
14%
20-24
$353 Vol.
28%
25-29
$328 Vol.
33%
30-34
$512 Vol.
19%
35+
$331 Vol.
10%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls from early June 2026 project Likud at 23–25 Knesset seats, reflecting a tight contest where the opposition “Together” slate led by Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid trails closely or edges ahead in some surveys. Netanyahu’s right-wing bloc remains short of a 61-seat majority while facing coalition strains and voter shifts toward centrist or other right-leaning options. Security developments in ongoing conflicts with Iran and Lebanon, along with internal Likud list negotiations and potential alliance changes, continue to drive volatility in polling averages. Traders price the 25–29 band highest because historical precedent and current trends favor modest gains for the incumbent party, yet narrow margins leave room for late swings from diplomatic breakthroughs, renewed escalation, or opposition consolidation ahead of the October 27 deadline.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Volumen
$5,275Fecha de finalización
27 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls from early June 2026 project Likud at 23–25 Knesset seats, reflecting a tight contest where the opposition “Together” slate led by Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid trails closely or edges ahead in some surveys. Netanyahu’s right-wing bloc remains short of a 61-seat majority while facing coalition strains and voter shifts toward centrist or other right-leaning options. Security developments in ongoing conflicts with Iran and Lebanon, along with internal Likud list negotiations and potential alliance changes, continue to drive volatility in polling averages. Traders price the 25–29 band highest because historical precedent and current trends favor modest gains for the incumbent party, yet narrow margins leave room for late swings from diplomatic breakthroughs, renewed escalation, or opposition consolidation ahead of the October 27 deadline.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volumen
$5,275Fecha de finalización
27 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from early June 2026 project Likud at 23–25 Knesset seats, reflecting a tight contest where the opposition “Together” slate led by Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid trails closely or edges ahead in some surveys. Netanyahu’s right-wing bloc remains short of a 61-seat majority while facing coalition strains and voter shifts toward centrist or other right-leaning options. Security developments in ongoing conflicts with Iran and Lebanon, along with internal Likud list negotiations and potential alliance changes, continue to drive volatility in polling averages. Traders price the 25–29 band highest because historical precedent and current trends favor modest gains for the incumbent party, yet narrow margins leave room for late swings from diplomatic breakthroughs, renewed escalation, or opposition consolidation ahead of the October 27 deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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