**The current map drawn after the 2020 census remains in place for Virginia’s 11 congressional districts ahead of the 2026 midterms.** Democratic majorities in the General Assembly advanced a constitutional amendment and accompanying legislation in late 2025 and early 2026 to bypass the bipartisan redistricting commission and enact a new map favoring Democrats in as many as 10 seats. Voters approved the amendment in an April 2026 special election, but the Virginia Supreme Court invalidated it on procedural grounds related to the timing of legislative approval relative to the 2025 election cycle. The U.S. Supreme Court declined an emergency appeal in mid-May 2026, leaving the existing boundaries intact. With the midterms less than five months away and no successful follow-on legislation or litigation reported since the May ruling, traders assign only a 3.6% chance that a new map will be implemented. Late developments capable of shifting the outcome would require an unprecedented new constitutional process or court intervention that overcomes the established procedural barriers before candidate filing deadlines and ballot preparation conclude.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$63,072 Vol.
$63,072 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
$63,072 Vol.
$63,072 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.**The current map drawn after the 2020 census remains in place for Virginia’s 11 congressional districts ahead of the 2026 midterms.**
Democratic majorities in the General Assembly advanced a constitutional amendment and accompanying legislation in late 2025 and early 2026 to bypass the bipartisan redistricting commission and enact a new map favoring Democrats in as many as 10 seats. Voters approved the amendment in an April 2026 special election, but the Virginia Supreme Court invalidated it on procedural grounds related to the timing of legislative approval relative to the 2025 election cycle. The U.S. Supreme Court declined an emergency appeal in mid-May 2026, leaving the existing boundaries intact.
With the midterms less than five months away and no successful follow-on legislation or litigation reported since the May ruling, traders assign only a 3.6% chance that a new map will be implemented. Late developments capable of shifting the outcome would require an unprecedented new constitutional process or court intervention that overcomes the established procedural barriers before candidate filing deadlines and ballot preparation conclude.
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ET
Volume
$63,072End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.**The current map drawn after the 2020 census remains in place for Virginia’s 11 congressional districts ahead of the 2026 midterms.**
Democratic majorities in the General Assembly advanced a constitutional amendment and accompanying legislation in late 2025 and early 2026 to bypass the bipartisan redistricting commission and enact a new map favoring Democrats in as many as 10 seats. Voters approved the amendment in an April 2026 special election, but the Virginia Supreme Court invalidated it on procedural grounds related to the timing of legislative approval relative to the 2025 election cycle. The U.S. Supreme Court declined an emergency appeal in mid-May 2026, leaving the existing boundaries intact.
With the midterms less than five months away and no successful follow-on legislation or litigation reported since the May ruling, traders assign only a 3.6% chance that a new map will be implemented. Late developments capable of shifting the outcome would require an unprecedented new constitutional process or court intervention that overcomes the established procedural barriers before candidate filing deadlines and ballot preparation conclude.
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$63,072End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**The current map drawn after the 2020 census remains in place for Virginia’s 11 congressional districts ahead of the 2026 midterms.** Democratic majorities in the General Assembly advanced a constitutional amendment and accompanying legislation in late 2025 and early 2026 to bypass the bipartisan redistricting commission and enact a new map favoring Democrats in as many as 10 seats. Voters approved the amendment in an April 2026 special election, but the Virginia Supreme Court invalidated it on procedural grounds related to the timing of legislative approval relative to the 2025 election cycle. The U.S. Supreme Court declined an emergency appeal in mid-May 2026, leaving the existing boundaries intact. With the midterms less than five months away and no successful follow-on legislation or litigation reported since the May ruling, traders assign only a 3.6% chance that a new map will be implemented. Late developments capable of shifting the outcome would require an unprecedented new constitutional process or court intervention that overcomes the established procedural barriers before candidate filing deadlines and ballot preparation conclude.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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