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French Election predictions & odds

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Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

23%

Jordan Bardella

$56M Vol.

$747K today

$5M Liq.

431

Ends in 12 months

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

89%

Édouard Philippe

$15.9K Vol.

$316K Liq.

14

Ends in 12 months

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

84%

Gabriel Attal

$787 Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

7

Ends in 12 months

French election called by...?

French election called by...?

4%

June 30, 2026

$1M Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

312

Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

2%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$21.7K Liq.

93

Ends in 2 months

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

24%

$11.0K Vol.

$11.2K Liq.

23

Quebec General Election Winner

Quebec General Election Winner

56%

PQ

$457K Vol.

$71.7K Liq.

48

Ends in 5 months

LA-03 House Election Winner

LA-03 House Election Winner

89%

Republican Party

$6.4K Vol.

$25.8K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

26%

December 31, 2026

$321K Vol.

$21.9K Liq.

112

Ends in 8 months

LA-05 House Election Winner

LA-05 House Election Winner

91%

Republican Party

$3.2K Vol.

$24.4K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

91%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$1M Vol.

$85.1K Liq.

8

Ends in 4 months

LA-04 House Election Winner

LA-04 House Election Winner

90%

Republican Party

$1.7K Vol.

$23.5K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

LA-02 House Election Winner

LA-02 House Election Winner

80%

Democratic Party

$25.6K Vol.

$26.2K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

LA-06 House Election Winner

LA-06 House Election Winner

66%

Republican Party

$41.1K Vol.

$43.3K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

LA-01 House Election Winner

LA-01 House Election Winner

91%

Republican Party

$34.1K Vol.

$27.3K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

6%

June 30, 2026

$746K Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

14

DE-AL House Election Winner

DE-AL House Election Winner

93%

Democratic Party

$801 Vol.

$27.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner

Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner

99%

Scottish National Party

$2M Vol.

$139K Liq.

9

Ends in 6 days

Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

44%

$6.1K Vol.

$744 Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

61%

United Russia (ER)

$7M Vol.

$139K today

$317K Liq.

155

Ends in 5 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for French Election that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Next French Presidential Election”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $70.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will France pass a national budget by December 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Next French Presidential Election,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Next French Presidential Election,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 23% chance to Jordan Bardella. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on French Election predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.