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District predictions & odds

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Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory

Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory

95%

Pass 3-6%

$545K Vol.

$42.3K Liq.

63

NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner

NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner

96%

Hakeem Jeffries

$5.8K Vol.

$18.8K Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

KY-04 Republican Primary Winner

KY-04 Republican Primary Winner

73%

Thomas Massie

$404K Vol.

$71.8K Liq.

32

Ends in 18 days

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

43%

$165K Vol.

$40.1K Liq.

22

Ends in 8 months

LA-06 House Election Winner

LA-06 House Election Winner

69%

Republican Party

$54.0K Vol.

$33.9K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Party Winner

96%

Reform

$122K Vol.

$126K Liq.

1

Ends in 6 days

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

48%

$3.7K Vol.

$23.7K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

LA-02 House Election Winner

LA-02 House Election Winner

75%

Democratic Party

$33.0K Vol.

$33.6K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

MS-02 House Election Winner

MS-02 House Election Winner

82%

Democratic Party

$18.5K Vol.

$32.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

AL-07 House Election Winner

AL-07 House Election Winner

89%

Democratic Party

$19.6K Vol.

$30.9K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Labour wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Labour wins ___ seats?

97%

300+

$23.9K Vol.

$48.6K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

GA-13 Democratic Primary Winner

GA-13 Democratic Primary Winner

81%

Jasmine Clark

$20.0K Vol.

$51.3K Liq.

1

Ends in 18 days

NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner

NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner

70%

Adriano Espaillat

$24.2K Vol.

$48.2K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

FL-01 House Election Winner

FL-01 House Election Winner

86%

Republican Party

$112K Vol.

$15.2K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Reform wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Reform wins ___ seats?

71%

1600+

$16.6K Vol.

$62.9K Liq.

4

Ends in 6 days

OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner

OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner

91%

Brian Poindexter

$13.9K Vol.

$44.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

IL-12 House Election Winner

IL-12 House Election Winner

94%

Republican Party

$18.1K Vol.

$32.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner

PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner

80%

Bob Brooks

$23.1K Vol.

$48.4K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?

Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?

8%

$24.8K Vol.

$5.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

TN-09 House Election Winner

TN-09 House Election Winner

82%

Democratic Party

$14.0K Vol.

$23.7K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 1124 active markets for District that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 95% chance to Pass 3-6%. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on District predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.