Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads first-round polling and is positioned as the likely far-right nominee if Marine Le Pen’s ineligibility is confirmed in her July 7 appeal verdict over the embezzlement conviction. Jean-Luc Mélenchon has declared for La France Insoumise, while Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have confirmed centrist bids; Bruno Retailleau secured The Republicans nomination in April. Left-wing coordination remains uncertain ahead of an October primary amid New Popular Front divisions. These declarations, party endorsements, and the pending Le Pen ruling shape trader assessments of the ballot composition heading into the April 2027 vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
$113,673 Vol.

Jean-Luc Mélenchon
92%

Édouard Philippe
80%

Nathalie Arthaud
78%

Jordan Bardella
76%

Bruno Retailleau
71%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
52%

Éric Zemmour
62%

Fabien Roussel
57%

David Lisnard
56%

Sarah Knafo
41%

Gabriel Attal
41%

Dominique de Villepin
35%

Raphaël Glucksmann
34%

Marine Tondelier
33%

François Hollande
32%

François Asselineau
24%

François Ruffin
22%

Marine Le Pen
22%

François Bayrou
16%

Matthieu Pigasse
17%

Karim Bouamrane
16%

Juan Branco
16%

Xavier Bertrand
15%

Gérald Darmanin
11%

Ségolène Royal
11%

Bernard Cazeneuve
11%

Jean Castex
10%

Carole Delga
10%

Jérôme Guedj
10%

Manuel Bompard
9%

Michel-Edouard Leclerc
9%

Philippe de Villiers
9%

Delphine Batho
8%

Olivier Faure
7%

Sébastien Lecornu
7%

Valérie Pécresse
7%

Yaël Braun-Pivet
6%

Jean-Michel Fauvergue
6%

Bally Bagayoko
6%

Clémentine Autain
5%

Manuel Valls
5%

Mathilde Panot
3%

Teddy Riner
3%

Élisabeth Borne
3%

Laurent Wauquiez
3%

Michel Barnier
2%
$113,673 Vol.

Jean-Luc Mélenchon
92%

Édouard Philippe
80%

Nathalie Arthaud
78%

Jordan Bardella
76%

Bruno Retailleau
71%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
52%

Éric Zemmour
62%

Fabien Roussel
57%

David Lisnard
56%

Sarah Knafo
41%

Gabriel Attal
41%

Dominique de Villepin
35%

Raphaël Glucksmann
34%

Marine Tondelier
33%

François Hollande
32%

François Asselineau
24%

François Ruffin
22%

Marine Le Pen
22%

François Bayrou
16%

Matthieu Pigasse
17%

Karim Bouamrane
16%

Juan Branco
16%

Xavier Bertrand
15%

Gérald Darmanin
11%

Ségolène Royal
11%

Bernard Cazeneuve
11%

Jean Castex
10%

Carole Delga
10%

Jérôme Guedj
10%

Manuel Bompard
9%

Michel-Edouard Leclerc
9%

Philippe de Villiers
9%

Delphine Batho
8%

Olivier Faure
7%

Sébastien Lecornu
7%

Valérie Pécresse
7%

Yaël Braun-Pivet
6%

Jean-Michel Fauvergue
6%

Bally Bagayoko
6%

Clémentine Autain
5%

Manuel Valls
5%

Mathilde Panot
3%

Teddy Riner
3%

Élisabeth Borne
3%

Laurent Wauquiez
3%

Michel Barnier
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads first-round polling and is positioned as the likely far-right nominee if Marine Le Pen’s ineligibility is confirmed in her July 7 appeal verdict over the embezzlement conviction. Jean-Luc Mélenchon has declared for La France Insoumise, while Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have confirmed centrist bids; Bruno Retailleau secured The Republicans nomination in April. Left-wing coordination remains uncertain ahead of an October primary amid New Popular Front divisions. These declarations, party endorsements, and the pending Le Pen ruling shape trader assessments of the ballot composition heading into the April 2027 vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes