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icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Elections·France

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Elections·France

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

$114,048 Vol.

Apr 17, 2027
Polymarket

$114,048 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$5,880 Vol.

92%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$7,656 Vol.

80%

icon for Nathalie Arthaud

Nathalie Arthaud

$2,372 Vol.

78%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$2,650 Vol.

76%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$6,268 Vol.

71%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$2,126 Vol.

62%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$2,445 Vol.

56%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$4,693 Vol.

56%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$415 Vol.

46%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$2,253 Vol.

43%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$4,243 Vol.

41%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$2,769 Vol.

35%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$4,161 Vol.

34%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$1,102 Vol.

33%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$4,603 Vol.

32%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$2,218 Vol.

24%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$4,134 Vol.

23%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$815 Vol.

23%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$4,000 Vol.

16%

icon for Matthieu Pigasse

Matthieu Pigasse

$8,895 Vol.

17%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$2,860 Vol.

16%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$2,239 Vol.

15%

icon for Karim Bouamrane

Karim Bouamrane

$2,284 Vol.

12%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$350 Vol.

11%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$3,105 Vol.

11%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$1,513 Vol.

11%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$1,606 Vol.

10%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$1,651 Vol.

10%

icon for Jérôme Guedj

Jérôme Guedj

$1,406 Vol.

10%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$2,415 Vol.

9%

icon for Michel-Edouard Leclerc

Michel-Edouard Leclerc

$1,204 Vol.

9%

icon for Philippe de Villiers

Philippe de Villiers

$2,216 Vol.

9%

icon for Delphine Batho

Delphine Batho

$567 Vol.

8%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$344 Vol.

7%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$325 Vol.

7%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$577 Vol.

7%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$478 Vol.

6%

icon for Jean-Michel Fauvergue

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

$1,536 Vol.

6%

icon for Bally Bagayoko

Bally Bagayoko

$1,189 Vol.

6%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$1,575 Vol.

5%

icon for Manuel Valls

Manuel Valls

$972 Vol.

5%

icon for Teddy Riner

Teddy Riner

$352 Vol.

4%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$257 Vol.

3%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$865 Vol.

3%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$6,364 Vol.

3%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$2,098 Vol.

2%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's 2027 presidential election, set for April with a potential runoff, features an unusually open field after Emmanuel Macron's constitutional term limit bars his re-election. Recent developments include Jean-Luc Mélenchon's May confirmation as La France Insoumise candidate, Gabriel Attal's declaration that same month, and Les Républicains' April nomination of Bruno Retailleau. On the far right, Marine Le Pen awaits a July 7 appeal ruling on her embezzlement conviction and potential office ban, which would likely clear the path for Jordan Bardella as National Rally standard-bearer. Dozens of other figures have signaled interest, though ballot access requires 500 elected-official signatures amid ongoing party primaries and coalition talks on the center and left. These legal, party, and positioning moves shape trader focus on likely qualifiers.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$114,048
End Date
Apr 17, 2027
Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's 2027 presidential election, set for April with a potential runoff, features an unusually open field after Emmanuel Macron's constitutional term limit bars his re-election. Recent developments include Jean-Luc Mélenchon's May confirmation as La France Insoumise candidate, Gabriel Attal's declaration that same month, and Les Républicains' April nomination of Bruno Retailleau. On the far right, Marine Le Pen awaits a July 7 appeal ruling on her embezzlement conviction and potential office ban, which would likely clear the path for Jordan Bardella as National Rally standard-bearer. Dozens of other figures have signaled interest, though ballot access requires 500 elected-official signatures amid ongoing party primaries and coalition talks on the center and left. These legal, party, and positioning moves shape trader focus on likely qualifiers.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$114,048
End Date
Apr 17, 2027
Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

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Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

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icon for Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

27%
icon for French election called by June 30, 2026?

French election called by June 30, 2026?

1%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 46+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" at 92%, followed by "Édouard Philippe" at 80%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 92¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" has generated $114K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?," browse the 46+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" is "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" at 92%, meaning the market assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Édouard Philippe" at 80%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.