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Budget predictions & odds

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Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

44%

$6.1K Vol.

$981 Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

55%

$3.0K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Major US official out by April 30?

Major US official out by April 30?

1%

$16.0K Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

9

How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

28%

7+

$2.4K Vol.

$16.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

38%

Tulsi Gabbard

$9.9K Vol.

$8.5K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?

Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?

13%

$868 Vol.

$766 Liq.

Ends in 8 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

92%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$68.6K today

$4.7K Liq.

120

Ends in 2 months

What price will Ethena hit in April?

What price will Ethena hit in April?

2%

↑ 0.16

$13.2K Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

Ends in about 7 hours

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

78%

↓ 0.0014

$106K Vol.

$4.4K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

96%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1M Vol.

$40.8K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

94%

$170 billion

$77 Vol.

$384 Liq.

Ends in 12 months

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

18%

↑ $3

$630K Vol.

$25.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

100%

>$600M

$29M Vol.

$6M today

$659K Liq.

323

Ends in 2 months

What price will Bitcoin hit in April?

What price will Bitcoin hit in April?

<1%

↓ 60,000

$62M Vol.

$2M today

$2M Liq.

6

Ends in about 7 hours

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

100%

Silver

$38.8K Vol.

$11.5K Liq.

What price will Plasma hit in 2026?

What price will Plasma hit in 2026?

51%

↑ 0.30

$301K Vol.

$798 Liq.

13

Ends in 8 months

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

99%

↑ $272

$392 Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

77%

December 31, 2027

$466K Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

32

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

25%

↑ 10 ETH

$3.5K Vol.

$255 Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?

62%

↑ $3.00

$1.7K Vol.

$293 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Budget.

Polymarket currently hosts 108 active markets for Budget that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will France pass a national budget by December 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $95.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will France pass a national budget by December 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What price will Bitcoin hit in April?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What price will Bitcoin hit in April?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to ↑ 75,000. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Budget predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.