Short-term ensemble forecasts from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo's June 6 high temperature will likely peak between 22–24°C, reflecting typical early-summer conditions before the full onset of the tsuyu rainy season. Traders weigh model consensus on factors such as persistent cloud cover from approaching frontal systems, moderate southerly flow, and limited daytime solar heating that cap maximums near seasonal normals of 23–25°C. Recent JMA outlooks for above-average temperatures through June provide a slight upward bias, yet day-to-day variability in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns keeps the three leading outcomes closely matched. New model runs expected overnight will clarify any shifts ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tokyo on June 6?
22°C 28%
23°C 27%
24°C 25%
21°C 7%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
7%
22°C
28%
23°C
27%
24°C
25%
25°C
5%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
2%
22°C 28%
23°C 27%
24°C 25%
21°C 7%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
7%
22°C
28%
23°C
27%
24°C
25%
25°C
5%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 5, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term ensemble forecasts from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo's June 6 high temperature will likely peak between 22–24°C, reflecting typical early-summer conditions before the full onset of the tsuyu rainy season. Traders weigh model consensus on factors such as persistent cloud cover from approaching frontal systems, moderate southerly flow, and limited daytime solar heating that cap maximums near seasonal normals of 23–25°C. Recent JMA outlooks for above-average temperatures through June provide a slight upward bias, yet day-to-day variability in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns keeps the three leading outcomes closely matched. New model runs expected overnight will clarify any shifts ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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