Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to a highest temperature in Miami on June 6 most likely falling in the mid-to-upper 80s, with sea-breeze circulation and scattered afternoon thunderstorms acting as the main moderating influences. Typical early-June climatology features average highs near 89°F, yet enhanced moisture and onshore flow often cap readings below that threshold through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread around 84–88°F depending on the precise timing of convective initiation, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds between the 84–85°F and 88–89°F brackets. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will further refine the expected peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on June 6?
Highest temperature in Miami on June 6?
86-87°F 43%
84-85°F 22%
88-89°F 18%
82-83°F 5%
NEW
NEW
Jun 6, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
22%
86-87°F
43%
88-89°F
18%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 43%
84-85°F 22%
88-89°F 18%
82-83°F 5%
NEW
NEW
Jun 6, 2026
75°F or below
$8 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$319 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$316 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$252 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$290 Vol.
5%
84-85°F
$373 Vol.
22%
86-87°F
$132 Vol.
43%
88-89°F
$360 Vol.
18%
90-91°F
$372 Vol.
2%
92-93°F
$60 Vol.
1%
94°F or higher
$132 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to a highest temperature in Miami on June 6 most likely falling in the mid-to-upper 80s, with sea-breeze circulation and scattered afternoon thunderstorms acting as the main moderating influences. Typical early-June climatology features average highs near 89°F, yet enhanced moisture and onshore flow often cap readings below that threshold through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread around 84–88°F depending on the precise timing of convective initiation, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds between the 84–85°F and 88–89°F brackets. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will further refine the expected peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$2,458End Date
Jun 6, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to a highest temperature in Miami on June 6 most likely falling in the mid-to-upper 80s, with sea-breeze circulation and scattered afternoon thunderstorms acting as the main moderating influences. Typical early-June climatology features average highs near 89°F, yet enhanced moisture and onshore flow often cap readings below that threshold through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread around 84–88°F depending on the precise timing of convective initiation, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds between the 84–85°F and 88–89°F brackets. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will further refine the expected peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,458End Date
Jun 6, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to a highest temperature in Miami on June 6 most likely falling in the mid-to-upper 80s, with sea-breeze circulation and scattered afternoon thunderstorms acting as the main moderating influences. Typical early-June climatology features average highs near 89°F, yet enhanced moisture and onshore flow often cap readings below that threshold through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread around 84–88°F depending on the precise timing of convective initiation, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds between the 84–85°F and 88–89°F brackets. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will further refine the expected peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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