Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate peak temperatures of 25–26°C in Tel Aviv on May 22, reflecting typical late-spring Mediterranean conditions with moderate westerly flow, sea-breeze moderation, and scattered cloud cover limiting daytime heating. Historical May averages near 27–28°C provide context, yet current atmospheric stability and light precipitation signals have narrowed expectations to the 25–26°C band. Minor differences in model timing for maximum insolation and boundary-layer moisture explain the tight split between those two leading outcomes, while lower-probability extremes would require an unexpected shift in steering patterns or clearer skies. Updated Israel Meteorological Service guidance and next model runs tomorrow morning remain key watch points before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 22?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 22?
25°C 39%
26°C 26%
24°C 13%
27°C 10%
NEW
NEW
May 22, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
13%
25°C
39%
26°C
26%
27°C
10%
28°C
5%
29°C or higher
3%
25°C 39%
26°C 26%
24°C 13%
27°C 10%
NEW
NEW
May 22, 2026
19°C or below
$433 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$334 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$156 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$535 Vol.
2%
23°C
$11 Vol.
4%
24°C
$104 Vol.
13%
25°C
$244 Vol.
39%
26°C
$408 Vol.
26%
27°C
$91 Vol.
10%
28°C
$47 Vol.
5%
29°C or higher
$46 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate peak temperatures of 25–26°C in Tel Aviv on May 22, reflecting typical late-spring Mediterranean conditions with moderate westerly flow, sea-breeze moderation, and scattered cloud cover limiting daytime heating. Historical May averages near 27–28°C provide context, yet current atmospheric stability and light precipitation signals have narrowed expectations to the 25–26°C band. Minor differences in model timing for maximum insolation and boundary-layer moisture explain the tight split between those two leading outcomes, while lower-probability extremes would require an unexpected shift in steering patterns or clearer skies. Updated Israel Meteorological Service guidance and next model runs tomorrow morning remain key watch points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$2,305End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate peak temperatures of 25–26°C in Tel Aviv on May 22, reflecting typical late-spring Mediterranean conditions with moderate westerly flow, sea-breeze moderation, and scattered cloud cover limiting daytime heating. Historical May averages near 27–28°C provide context, yet current atmospheric stability and light precipitation signals have narrowed expectations to the 25–26°C band. Minor differences in model timing for maximum insolation and boundary-layer moisture explain the tight split between those two leading outcomes, while lower-probability extremes would require an unexpected shift in steering patterns or clearer skies. Updated Israel Meteorological Service guidance and next model runs tomorrow morning remain key watch points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,305End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate peak temperatures of 25–26°C in Tel Aviv on May 22, reflecting typical late-spring Mediterranean conditions with moderate westerly flow, sea-breeze moderation, and scattered cloud cover limiting daytime heating. Historical May averages near 27–28°C provide context, yet current atmospheric stability and light precipitation signals have narrowed expectations to the 25–26°C band. Minor differences in model timing for maximum insolation and boundary-layer moisture explain the tight split between those two leading outcomes, while lower-probability extremes would require an unexpected shift in steering patterns or clearer skies. Updated Israel Meteorological Service guidance and next model runs tomorrow morning remain key watch points before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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