Latest meteorological forecasts for Panama City highlight persistent high-pressure conditions and strong solar insolation typical of mid-May in the region, driving trader consensus toward a peak of 33°C or higher with 75% implied probability. Historical climatology shows average daily maxima of 31–34°C during this transitional period before the wet season intensifies, with minimal cloud cover and light winds allowing efficient surface heating. Recent model runs from regional agencies confirm no major cooling fronts or increased rainfall are expected today, keeping the 32°C outcome at 20% as a secondary possibility only if afternoon convection develops earlier than anticipated. Updated observations throughout the day will determine the precise maximum before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on May 17?
Highest temperature in Panama City on May 17?
33°C or higher 78%
32°C 19%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
$21,473 Vol.
$21,473 Vol.
May 17, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
22%
33°C or higher
78%
33°C or higher 78%
32°C 19%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
$21,473 Vol.
$21,473 Vol.
May 17, 2026
23°C or below
$494 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$442 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$662 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$759 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$930 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,033 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,562 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$8,012 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,415 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,270 Vol.
22%
33°C or higher
$2,928 Vol.
78%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest meteorological forecasts for Panama City highlight persistent high-pressure conditions and strong solar insolation typical of mid-May in the region, driving trader consensus toward a peak of 33°C or higher with 75% implied probability. Historical climatology shows average daily maxima of 31–34°C during this transitional period before the wet season intensifies, with minimal cloud cover and light winds allowing efficient surface heating. Recent model runs from regional agencies confirm no major cooling fronts or increased rainfall are expected today, keeping the 32°C outcome at 20% as a secondary possibility only if afternoon convection develops earlier than anticipated. Updated observations throughout the day will determine the precise maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$21,473End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest meteorological forecasts for Panama City highlight persistent high-pressure conditions and strong solar insolation typical of mid-May in the region, driving trader consensus toward a peak of 33°C or higher with 75% implied probability. Historical climatology shows average daily maxima of 31–34°C during this transitional period before the wet season intensifies, with minimal cloud cover and light winds allowing efficient surface heating. Recent model runs from regional agencies confirm no major cooling fronts or increased rainfall are expected today, keeping the 32°C outcome at 20% as a secondary possibility only if afternoon convection develops earlier than anticipated. Updated observations throughout the day will determine the precise maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$21,473End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGLatest meteorological forecasts for Panama City highlight persistent high-pressure conditions and strong solar insolation typical of mid-May in the region, driving trader consensus toward a peak of 33°C or higher with 75% implied probability. Historical climatology shows average daily maxima of 31–34°C during this transitional period before the wet season intensifies, with minimal cloud cover and light winds allowing efficient surface heating. Recent model runs from regional agencies confirm no major cooling fronts or increased rainfall are expected today, keeping the 32°C outcome at 20% as a secondary possibility only if afternoon convection develops earlier than anticipated. Updated observations throughout the day will determine the precise maximum before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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