Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts confirm maximum temperatures of 37-39°C for Karachi on May 3, 2026—the hottest of the next three days amid an intensifying heatwave across Sindh, with daytime highs 4-6°C above seasonal norms of around 34-35°C. This strong official guidance, coupled with National Disaster Management Authority alerts extending severe heat until May 5, drives the market-implied 92.5% probability for 37°C or higher, reflecting trader consensus on persistent high-pressure systems, southwesterly winds, and decreasing humidity enabling extreme heat buildup. Recent observations show May 1-2 highs at 36-38°C, building momentum. Realistic challenges include an unusually strong sea breeze or sudden dust-laden clouds cooling the city below 37°C, though model consensus favors continuation; PMD observations will finalize resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on May 3?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 3?
37°C or higher 93%
36°C 7%
35°C 2.5%
34°C <1%
NEW
NEW
May 3, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
2%
36°C
7%
37°C or higher
93%
37°C or higher 93%
36°C 7%
35°C 2.5%
34°C <1%
NEW
NEW
May 3, 2026
27°C or below
$1,406 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$892 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$661 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$620 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$541 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$554 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$466 Vol.
1%
34°C
$1,049 Vol.
1%
35°C
$325 Vol.
2%
36°C
$398 Vol.
7%
37°C or higher
$791 Vol.
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts confirm maximum temperatures of 37-39°C for Karachi on May 3, 2026—the hottest of the next three days amid an intensifying heatwave across Sindh, with daytime highs 4-6°C above seasonal norms of around 34-35°C. This strong official guidance, coupled with National Disaster Management Authority alerts extending severe heat until May 5, drives the market-implied 92.5% probability for 37°C or higher, reflecting trader consensus on persistent high-pressure systems, southwesterly winds, and decreasing humidity enabling extreme heat buildup. Recent observations show May 1-2 highs at 36-38°C, building momentum. Realistic challenges include an unusually strong sea breeze or sudden dust-laden clouds cooling the city below 37°C, though model consensus favors continuation; PMD observations will finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 1, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Volume
$7,703End Date
May 3, 2026Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts confirm maximum temperatures of 37-39°C for Karachi on May 3, 2026—the hottest of the next three days amid an intensifying heatwave across Sindh, with daytime highs 4-6°C above seasonal norms of around 34-35°C. This strong official guidance, coupled with National Disaster Management Authority alerts extending severe heat until May 5, drives the market-implied 92.5% probability for 37°C or higher, reflecting trader consensus on persistent high-pressure systems, southwesterly winds, and decreasing humidity enabling extreme heat buildup. Recent observations show May 1-2 highs at 36-38°C, building momentum. Realistic challenges include an unusually strong sea breeze or sudden dust-laden clouds cooling the city below 37°C, though model consensus favors continuation; PMD observations will finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$7,703End Date
May 3, 2026Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts confirm maximum temperatures of 37-39°C for Karachi on May 3, 2026—the hottest of the next three days amid an intensifying heatwave across Sindh, with daytime highs 4-6°C above seasonal norms of around 34-35°C. This strong official guidance, coupled with National Disaster Management Authority alerts extending severe heat until May 5, drives the market-implied 92.5% probability for 37°C or higher, reflecting trader consensus on persistent high-pressure systems, southwesterly winds, and decreasing humidity enabling extreme heat buildup. Recent observations show May 1-2 highs at 36-38°C, building momentum. Realistic challenges include an unusually strong sea breeze or sudden dust-laden clouds cooling the city below 37°C, though model consensus favors continuation; PMD observations will finalize resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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