National Weather Service forecasts for Miami International Airport indicate a high near 89-92°F on May 2 under mostly sunny skies with light variable winds, driving trader consensus toward the low-90s range where 92-93°F (39.5%) edges 90-91°F (34.5%). This tight race reflects model spread—GFS and ECMWF runs showing slight differences in peak heating amid a building subtropical ridge suppressing clouds and promoting sea-breeze convergence that moderates urban heat island effects. Above-average warmth aligns with ongoing drought conditions and warm sea surface temperatures around Florida, exceeding the early May climatological average of 84°F. New 12Z model guidance and NWS updates Friday could refine probabilities as resolution nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on May 2?
Highest temperature in Miami on May 2?
92-93°F 40%
90-91°F 35%
94-95°F 18.9%
88-89°F 5%
NEW
$13,778 Vol.
NEW
$13,778 Vol.
May 2, 2026
83°F or below
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
35%
92-93°F
40%
94-95°F
19%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 40%
90-91°F 35%
94-95°F 18.9%
88-89°F 5%
NEW
$13,778 Vol.
NEW
$13,778 Vol.
May 2, 2026
83°F or below
$2,161 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$1,936 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$1,724 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$779 Vol.
5%
90-91°F
$729 Vol.
35%
92-93°F
$1,329 Vol.
40%
94-95°F
$992 Vol.
19%
96-97°F
$782 Vol.
4%
98-99°F
$865 Vol.
1%
100-101°F
$634 Vol.
<1%
102°F or higher
$1,846 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Miami International Airport indicate a high near 89-92°F on May 2 under mostly sunny skies with light variable winds, driving trader consensus toward the low-90s range where 92-93°F (39.5%) edges 90-91°F (34.5%). This tight race reflects model spread—GFS and ECMWF runs showing slight differences in peak heating amid a building subtropical ridge suppressing clouds and promoting sea-breeze convergence that moderates urban heat island effects. Above-average warmth aligns with ongoing drought conditions and warm sea surface temperatures around Florida, exceeding the early May climatological average of 84°F. New 12Z model guidance and NWS updates Friday could refine probabilities as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$13,778End Date
May 2, 2026Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Miami International Airport indicate a high near 89-92°F on May 2 under mostly sunny skies with light variable winds, driving trader consensus toward the low-90s range where 92-93°F (39.5%) edges 90-91°F (34.5%). This tight race reflects model spread—GFS and ECMWF runs showing slight differences in peak heating amid a building subtropical ridge suppressing clouds and promoting sea-breeze convergence that moderates urban heat island effects. Above-average warmth aligns with ongoing drought conditions and warm sea surface temperatures around Florida, exceeding the early May climatological average of 84°F. New 12Z model guidance and NWS updates Friday could refine probabilities as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$13,778End Date
May 2, 2026Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Miami International Airport indicate a high near 89-92°F on May 2 under mostly sunny skies with light variable winds, driving trader consensus toward the low-90s range where 92-93°F (39.5%) edges 90-91°F (34.5%). This tight race reflects model spread—GFS and ECMWF runs showing slight differences in peak heating amid a building subtropical ridge suppressing clouds and promoting sea-breeze convergence that moderates urban heat island effects. Above-average warmth aligns with ongoing drought conditions and warm sea surface temperatures around Florida, exceeding the early May climatological average of 84°F. New 12Z model guidance and NWS updates Friday could refine probabilities as resolution nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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