Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward a 32°C high in Singapore on May 2 (35.5% implied probability), edging out 33°C (27.5%), amid Meteorological Service Singapore's forecast of inter-monsoon conditions with light variable winds, afternoon thundery showers, and daily maximums likely 33–34°C through late April extending into early May. Above-average temperatures for the climatologically warmest months are driven by strong solar heating and high humidity, but differentiating factors include shower timing and coverage: early or widespread clouds limit surface heating to ~32°C, while delayed or patchy ones allow peaks near 33–34°C, consistent with recent April highs around 31–33°C at Changi Airport station. Updated daily forecasts expected May 1 could refine model guidance on convergence and rainfall.