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Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 2?

icon for Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 2?

Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 2?

Apr 30

May 1

May 2

Apr 30

May 1

May 2

23°C 34%

24°C 26%

25°C 14%

22°C 13%

Polymarket
NEW

23°C 34%

24°C 26%

25°C 14%

22°C 13%

Polymarket
NEW

18°C or below

$1,046 Vol.

<1%

19°C

$677 Vol.

1%

20°C

$670 Vol.

1%

21°C

$407 Vol.

5%

22°C

$694 Vol.

13%

23°C

$544 Vol.

34%

24°C

$548 Vol.

26%

25°C

$305 Vol.

14%

26°C

$90 Vol.

8%

27°C

$153 Vol.

2%

28°C or higher

$266 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 23°C (35%) and 24°C (28%) as Shanghai's highest temperature on May 2, reflecting the latest guidance from China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which project daytime highs in this narrow range amid mild early-May conditions. Recent observations through late April show stable temperatures around 20-22°C with light northerly winds and partial cloudiness, aligning with climatological averages of 22-25°C for early May, when Shanghai transitions from spring variability influenced by continental high-pressure systems. Differentiating factors include model spread over cloud cover and sea-breeze potential: drier runs favor 24°C via enhanced solar heating and urban heat island effects, while moister ensembles cap at 23°C. Updated CMA bulletins expected daily and final observations from Pudong or Xujiahui stations will resolve uncertainties by evening May 2.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,400
End Date
May 2, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 12:41 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 23°C (35%) and 24°C (28%) as Shanghai's highest temperature on May 2, reflecting the latest guidance from China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which project daytime highs in this narrow range amid mild early-May conditions. Recent observations through late April show stable temperatures around 20-22°C with light northerly winds and partial cloudiness, aligning with climatological averages of 22-25°C for early May, when Shanghai transitions from spring variability influenced by continental high-pressure systems. Differentiating factors include model spread over cloud cover and sea-breeze potential: drier runs favor 24°C via enhanced solar heating and urban heat island effects, while moister ensembles cap at 23°C. Updated CMA bulletins expected daily and final observations from Pudong or Xujiahui stations will resolve uncertainties by evening May 2.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,400
End Date
May 2, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 12:41 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 2?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "23°C" at 34%, followed by "24°C" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 34¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 2?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 30, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 2?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 2?" is "23°C" at 34%, meaning the market assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "24°C" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 2?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.