Market-implied odds tightly cluster around 30–34°C for Jakarta's highest temperature on May 4, mirroring forecast model consensus from BMKG and global sources like AccuWeather projecting daytime highs of 31–33°C amid the early onset of Indonesia's 2026 dry season. Recent BMKG updates highlight persistent cloud cover and 95% precipitation probability, potentially suppressing peaks toward 30–31°C via increased convective activity, while urban heat island effects and light northeast winds (4–5 mph) at 73% humidity could push toward 33–34°C if skies partially clear in the afternoon. Historical May averages hover at 32°C, underscoring the razor-thin margins; traders await tomorrow's satellite imagery and soundings for resolution-clarifying refinements before the event.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 4?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 4?
33°C 29%
32°C 15%
31°C 14%
34°C 13%
NEW
NEW
May 4, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
14%
32°C
15%
33°C
29%
34°C
13%
35°C
5%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 29%
32°C 15%
31°C 14%
34°C 13%
NEW
NEW
May 4, 2026
28°C or below
$33 Vol.
1%
29°C
$74 Vol.
3%
30°C
$56 Vol.
8%
31°C
$53 Vol.
14%
32°C
$64 Vol.
15%
33°C
$1 Vol.
29%
34°C
$27 Vol.
13%
35°C
$15 Vol.
5%
36°C
$0 Vol.
3%
37°C
$0 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$96 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Market-implied odds tightly cluster around 30–34°C for Jakarta's highest temperature on May 4, mirroring forecast model consensus from BMKG and global sources like AccuWeather projecting daytime highs of 31–33°C amid the early onset of Indonesia's 2026 dry season. Recent BMKG updates highlight persistent cloud cover and 95% precipitation probability, potentially suppressing peaks toward 30–31°C via increased convective activity, while urban heat island effects and light northeast winds (4–5 mph) at 73% humidity could push toward 33–34°C if skies partially clear in the afternoon. Historical May averages hover at 32°C, underscoring the razor-thin margins; traders await tomorrow's satellite imagery and soundings for resolution-clarifying refinements before the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$419End Date
May 4, 2026Market Opened
May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Market-implied odds tightly cluster around 30–34°C for Jakarta's highest temperature on May 4, mirroring forecast model consensus from BMKG and global sources like AccuWeather projecting daytime highs of 31–33°C amid the early onset of Indonesia's 2026 dry season. Recent BMKG updates highlight persistent cloud cover and 95% precipitation probability, potentially suppressing peaks toward 30–31°C via increased convective activity, while urban heat island effects and light northeast winds (4–5 mph) at 73% humidity could push toward 33–34°C if skies partially clear in the afternoon. Historical May averages hover at 32°C, underscoring the razor-thin margins; traders await tomorrow's satellite imagery and soundings for resolution-clarifying refinements before the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$419End Date
May 4, 2026Market Opened
May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds tightly cluster around 30–34°C for Jakarta's highest temperature on May 4, mirroring forecast model consensus from BMKG and global sources like AccuWeather projecting daytime highs of 31–33°C amid the early onset of Indonesia's 2026 dry season. Recent BMKG updates highlight persistent cloud cover and 95% precipitation probability, potentially suppressing peaks toward 30–31°C via increased convective activity, while urban heat island effects and light northeast winds (4–5 mph) at 73% humidity could push toward 33–34°C if skies partially clear in the afternoon. Historical May averages hover at 32°C, underscoring the razor-thin margins; traders await tomorrow's satellite imagery and soundings for resolution-clarifying refinements before the event.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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