Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 56°F or higher in Denver on May 2, with 99.2% implied probability, reflecting strong alignment across National Weather Service forecasts and major models like GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime highs of 59–65°F. This positioning stems from a building upper-level ridge over the central Rockies following a brief cool snap, with sunny skies, light winds, and ample insolation expected to drive temperatures well above seasonal normals of around 66°F for early May. Historical data shows Denver's May 2 highs rarely dip below 52°F, supporting the near-certainty. Realistic challenges include an unanticipated northward surge of cool Pacific air, though current steering patterns and ensemble model agreement make this unlikely; watch for 00z/12z forecast updates from NOAA's Boulder office for any shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on May 2?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 2?
56°F or higher 99.2%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
NEW
$89,335 Vol.
NEW
$89,335 Vol.
May 2, 2026
37°F or below
<1%
38-39°F
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56°F or higher
99%
56°F or higher 99.2%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
NEW
$89,335 Vol.
NEW
$89,335 Vol.
May 2, 2026
37°F or below
$3,369 Vol.
<1%
38-39°F
$1,651 Vol.
<1%
40-41°F
$2,279 Vol.
<1%
42-43°F
$4,398 Vol.
<1%
44-45°F
$5,151 Vol.
<1%
46-47°F
$8,981 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$10,449 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$13,100 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$11,565 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$9,733 Vol.
<1%
56°F or higher
$18,659 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 56°F or higher in Denver on May 2, with 99.2% implied probability, reflecting strong alignment across National Weather Service forecasts and major models like GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime highs of 59–65°F. This positioning stems from a building upper-level ridge over the central Rockies following a brief cool snap, with sunny skies, light winds, and ample insolation expected to drive temperatures well above seasonal normals of around 66°F for early May. Historical data shows Denver's May 2 highs rarely dip below 52°F, supporting the near-certainty. Realistic challenges include an unanticipated northward surge of cool Pacific air, though current steering patterns and ensemble model agreement make this unlikely; watch for 00z/12z forecast updates from NOAA's Boulder office for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 30, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Volume
$89,335End Date
May 2, 2026Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 12:20 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 56°F or higher in Denver on May 2, with 99.2% implied probability, reflecting strong alignment across National Weather Service forecasts and major models like GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime highs of 59–65°F. This positioning stems from a building upper-level ridge over the central Rockies following a brief cool snap, with sunny skies, light winds, and ample insolation expected to drive temperatures well above seasonal normals of around 66°F for early May. Historical data shows Denver's May 2 highs rarely dip below 52°F, supporting the near-certainty. Realistic challenges include an unanticipated northward surge of cool Pacific air, though current steering patterns and ensemble model agreement make this unlikely; watch for 00z/12z forecast updates from NOAA's Boulder office for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$89,335End Date
May 2, 2026Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 12:20 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 56°F or higher in Denver on May 2, with 99.2% implied probability, reflecting strong alignment across National Weather Service forecasts and major models like GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime highs of 59–65°F. This positioning stems from a building upper-level ridge over the central Rockies following a brief cool snap, with sunny skies, light winds, and ample insolation expected to drive temperatures well above seasonal normals of around 66°F for early May. Historical data shows Denver's May 2 highs rarely dip below 52°F, supporting the near-certainty. Realistic challenges include an unanticipated northward surge of cool Pacific air, though current steering patterns and ensemble model agreement make this unlikely; watch for 00z/12z forecast updates from NOAA's Boulder office for any shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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